Race of the Day

Race of the Day – 25 Jul

Race of the Day - 21:00 Chelmsford

The Trainer Handicap 1st Run is an interesting report and it is good at highlighting trainers that are astute at placing their runners in handicaps for the first time.

Golden Goal has only had the one run so far, but Saeed Bin Suroor has decided that is enough to go handicapping. His record over the past year is excellent, with over a 25% strike rate and more than half of this type of runner being placed. The Impact Value is excellent at 2.56, meaning his runners entering a handicap for the first time are more than two and a half times more likely than average to win.

 

As there is obviously very little horse form to go on, I have taken a look at both the trainer and jockey form below. We can see that Bin Suroor has a fantastic record here at Chelmsford over the past year. He's had 13 winners (56.52%) and 18 places (78.26%) from 23 runners, for level stakes profits of 21.77 and 25.84 respectively. The Impact Value for the last year is a whopping 5.10!

Among the rest of his stats, it is worth noting that his all weather runners win over 7% more often than his overall average, and those on their second start 5.5% more.

Jockey Martin Lane is in fine form at the moment, with a better than one in four strike rate over the last 30 days. He also gets his share of winners here at Chelmsford, as shown by a level stakes profit of 39.54 from 176 runners during the past five years.

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The results tab shows that Golden Goal was a very easy winner of his maiden over course and distance, and although it is never easy to tell, his opening mark of 81 may be on the lenient side. From just that one run he has been given the third highest Speed Rating in this field, and it looks as though he may be capable of going on to better things.

Golden Goal is a very short price for a horse that has had just the one run and is now entering a handicap. However, the above shows that his trainer excels with this type of horse, and especially on all weather tracks.

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