Race of the Day - 20:40 Southwell
We head to Southwell and an evening jumps card for Race of the Day, and a three mile 0-100 handicap hurdle.
The champion jockey Richard Johnson is on the current favourite Withoutdefavourite, who is around 9/4. He has his first race for trainer Tim Vaughan today (as can be seen by the blue TC next to the horse's name), and Vaughan has a reasonable record here at Southwell.
Polarbrook has been running consistently without winning, however, he has now dropped to a good looking handicap mark and if he runs well he can definitely take advantage of that.
There are not a lot of green sections on the Instant Expert report, which shows the lack of any real class in this race.
Tidestream does have two sections of green, including winning on his only previous visit here. He hasn't been in the winning enclosure since that win over two years ago, but he is now seven pounds lower so if the extra distance in this one brings out the best of him, he could be a player.
Fled Or Pled has one section of green and two of amber, and he is one of only two runners in this field to have won over today's distance. That win was earlier in the year at Towcester and he was raised seven pounds that win, so still has it to prove that he is capable from this higher mark.
The Pace Report shows that early leaders here over this distance have a good record, with 13.78% of them winning the race, for a level stakes profit of 21.84.
Withoutdefavourite and French Seventyfive have the highest pace scores based on the last four races of each horse, and they look the most likely to be taking them along through the early part of the race.
We can see that Derek Shaw has an excellent record here at Southwell over the past year, from looking at the Trainer Statistics report. This is a brilliant report which is really helpful for highlighting courses that certain trainers excel on.
Over the last year, he's had ten winners (18.52%) and 17 places (31.48%) from 54 runners, for level stakes profits of 84.25 and 82.74 respectively. He runs Polarbrook here today who is currently as 4/1 shot.
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