Race of the Day

Race of the Day – 27 Jul

Race of the Day - 15:50 Yarmouth

Chris Dwyer and Silvestre De Sousa is not an obvious combination, but they do team up quite regularly and really appear to excel at Yarmouth. They have a brilliant record there together over the past year, winning almost a third of their races and being placed in over half. This is lead to an Impact Value of 2.41, which is extremely promising.

They have two runners together here today, and it is Erissimus Maximus that I am going to focus on.

If we take a look at the race card and drill down into both the trainer and jockey form, we can see the good course form over the last year that we have already mentioned.

Another couple of snippets to note for Dwyer are that an above average record with his horses in handicaps, and an almost identical strike rate with sprinters. This is a five-furlong sprint handicap and therefore fits the bill nicely.

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The Instant Expert report (which, incidentally is free to all registered users for every race on a Thursday) shows that Erissimus Maximus is well suited by today's conditions and looks to have plenty in place to encourage a big run. It should be noted, however, that he is ten pounds higher than for his last victory, and will, therefore, need to produce a decent run his he is going to take this. He has won over five furlongs from a mark of 76 (which is just three pounds lower than today) on the all weather surface at Southwell, which hopefully proves he has it in him.

Early leaders here over this distance have a predictably good record, with 23.45% of them winning the race for a level stakes profit of 25.54.

A lot of the runners in this race have lead or been very handy in at least one of their last four races, therefore, it is tricky to determine how this one is going to play out.

Erissimus Maximus has a mixed bag when trying to determine his running style, however, he has been prominent through the race in each of his three career runs to date. Therefore, I expect De Sousa to try and get away from the stalls swiftly and be right up with the pace early on.

Even though there are just the six runners in the field, four of them are closely matched and it appears an open race. Erissimus Maximus is a confident choice at 11/4, given the strong trainer and jockey partnership and his liking for today's conditions.

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