The combination of David Barron and Ben Curtis have been in excellent form together over the last 30 days, as can be seen from the Trainer Jockey Combo Stats report. From 18 runners they have had six winners (33.33%) and 9 places (50.00%) which has produced level stakes profits of 32.73 and 38.31 respectively. It has also produced an Impact Value of 3.13, meaning they are more than three times as likely than average to have a winner.
They have four runners together at Redcar today, and it is Granny Roz that I am going to be concentrating on.
Granny Roz is a three-year-old Bahamian Bounty filly that has been running extremely consistently, winning one and finishing second four times in her last five races. She appears to be at home in the softer conditions and the handicap that she finished second in last time out at Haydock looks a strong one with the third horse in that race winning twice since.
She has coped well with the drop down to five furlongs in her last couple of races and does have speed in her pedigree.
If we take a look at the overall trainer form on the racecard we can see that as well as being in good current form, David Barron has a useful record here at Redcar. Over the past five years he's had 18 winners (17.82%) and 38 places (37.62%) from 101 runners, for level stakes profits of 55.14 and 51.46 respectively.
Granny Roz comes out reasonably well and looks about the best suited to today's conditions when looking at the Instant Expert report. She has three sections of green and one of amber when on the 'Place' setting. She is six pounds higher than for her last win, however, she has run well the last twice from just one pound lower so she looks capable from this mark.
Early leaders here over this distance have an excellent record, with 24.26% of them winning the race, for a level stakes profit of 115.37 and an Impact Value of 2.31.
Granny Roz is usually quickly away and her last win was when she led from pillar to post. As long as the draw on the outside in stall 19 doesn't inconvenience her too much then I am hoping that Ben Curtis is able to get her towards the front early on and she can use her stamina inside the final furlong in what is a wide open race.
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