Race of the Day - 16:30 Brighton
The going is good to firm at Brighton today and this is a 0-75 handicap over one and a half miles.
Whinging Willie is a long way clear on the Speed Ratings with a mark of 86, the next closest is Safira Menina on 71. He is also trained by Gary Moore, who has been in good form recently with a win record of over 20% over the last month, and he also has respectable figures here at Brighton over the past five years.
The Instant Expert tab (which incidentally is free to all for every race on Thursdays) shows that Roy Rocket is very much suited by today's racing conditions, with three sections of green and one of amber. He has excellent previous form over the course, on today's going and in this class, and he is just three pounds higher than his last winning mark.
This is an open race but at a current price of 7/1, he looks like he could be a value play at the moment.
The Pace tab is quite mixed, horses that lead the race have a reasonable win rate of 16.55%, however it is the horses that generally run in mid division that look the ones to avoid, unless a big case can be made for them when looking at other variables.
Daisy Boy and Classic Mission look likely to fight it out for the lead, and if they go hell for leather from the off this could set it up for a late finisher, with Roy Rocket and Safira Manina definite hold up horses looking to come through late on.
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