Race of the Day

Race of the Day – 3 Oct

Race of the Day - 18:00 Southwell

Olly Murphy has made an excellent start to his trainer career, therefore, it is no surprise that when looking at the Trainer Snippets report he is high on the list for his hurdlers. From 34 runners he's had ten winners (29.41%) and 20 places (58.82%) which have produced level stakes profits of 15.04 and 15.76 respectively, and am Impact Value of 2.89.

He has two such runners at Southwell today and it is Skilled that I am going to be taking a closer look at.

Skilled has been in great form over the summer, with two wins and a second place from his last four races. It should be noted that these four races were all over the larger obstacles and he reverts back to hurdles today. He does get to race off a seven pound lower mark though and if he can continue his good form he must be very tough to beat.

If we expand the trainer form from the racecard it confirms what an incredible start Olly Murphy has had to his training career. His overall record is a strike rate of 28.57%, which increases for his hurdlers and having an Impact Value of 2.89 for these runners means he is almost three times as likely as average to have the winner.

With the Instant Expert report on the 'Place' setting Skilled comes out quite well with three sections of green and two of amber. Along with Chilly Miss he appears to be most suited by today's racing conditions as only one other runner has a section of green.

The Pace report shows that prominent runners have the best record here over this distance with 13.32% of them winning the race, and this is just ahead of early leaders.

There doesn't appear to be any real pace in the race, however, and it will be interesting to see who takes it up and whether or not it will be a falsely run race.

Click here for the 18:00 at Southwell.

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