Race of the Day – 5 Aug

Race of the Day - 15:30 Musselburgh

A seven furlong fillies' handicap at Musselburgh with seven runners, and six of them are single figures in the betting which shows the open nature of this race.

Mustique is at the top of the Speed Ratings and her trainer Richard Fahey has a very good record at this course over the past five years.

There are several recent winners in the field which shows the openness of this race.

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The Instant Expect tab doesn't have a lot of green on it but Forever Lady has good form in this class and over this distance. Dark Intention also has a win from three races in both of those categories is actually the same weight as her last victory.

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Dark Intention likes to be right up with the pace and leaders over this distance at Musselburgh have an excellent record. They are 64 wins from 216 races (almost 30%) which shows that it is a massive advantage to lead around this course over seven furlongs.

Forever Lady is another who has either led or been handy over three out the last four races so is likely to also be right up with the pace.

As you can see from the graphic below, the win P/L for leaders over course and distance is an incredible £116.55 to level stakes.

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The Heat Map completely backs up the case for either leading or being prominent. There is green across all six parts with a preference for being drawn low to mid in the stalls. Forever Lady and Dark Intention are drawn one and two respectively, therefore a strong case can be made for both of them based on these stats.

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