Race of the Day - 19:25 Ayr
This is quite a useful looking seven furlong handicap at Ayr, with eight runners that are well matched.
The McGregornator is the short priced favourite, and his trainer Adrian Keatly, has an outstanding long term record here at Ayr. One the last five years he's had 14 winners (26.42%) and 26 places (49.06%) from 53 runners, for level stakes profits of 32.88 and 41.21 respectively. The Mcgregornator hasn't won since his second start as a two year old, however he has been consistent and was a good second in a similar race last time out over course and distance, and races from the same mark here today.
The Instant Expert report has very few sections of green, however Muscika has three and looks well suited by today's racing conditions.
Both Tatlisu and Aprovado have plenty of experience, and they each have four sections of amber when looking at this report, showing that if they can run near to their best, they are definitely in with a chance of at least making the frame.
From looking at the Pace report we can see that leaders here over this distance have a very good record, with 18.09% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 119.41.
Aprovado is usually away very quickly and he has easily the highest pace score in this field based on the last four races of each of them. It looks very likely that he will be taking them along through the first few furlongs.
David O'Meara and Daniel Tudhope have been in excellent form together recently, and produced plenty of winners. Over the past 30 days they've had 13 winners (21.67%) and 25 places (41.67%) from 60 runners, for level stakes profits of 84.59 and 92.80 respectively. They team up with Muscika here today, and I think he has a very good chance at a nice price of around 6/1.
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