Saeed bin Suroor has a wonderful record with his runners first time out, and he looks to have yet another potential smart performer in Military Parade.
From 123 runners making their first start he's had 39 winners (31.71%) and 73 places (59.35%) for level stakes profits of 16.76 and 11.67 respectively. This has produced an Impact Value of 3.91, meaning he is almost four times more likely than average to have the winner.
There is a well fancied Sir Michael Stoute runner in this race which is keeping the price of Military Parade higher than I expected.
If we expand the trainer form when looking at the racecard (by clicking on the black trainer icon below the horse's name), we can see that as well as having a great record with first starters, Bin Suroor has a brilliant record here at Chelmsford. Over the past year, he's had 15 winners (60%) and 20 places (80%) from 25 runners, which have produced level stakes profits of 24.27 and 28.84 respectively. The Impact Value here is an incredible 5.46.
His overall record on the all weather tracks is over 7% better than his total average, and he has an almost one in three strike rate from 229 runners.
Josephine Gordon is an excellent jockey to have on board and she has been finding plenty of winners recently. Over the past couple of weeks, she's had four winners (13.33%) and 9 places (30.00%) from 30 runners, for level stakes profits of 8.25 and 4.57.
There is always plenty of guesswork involved when backing an unraced two-year-old, however, as the stats are firmly in our favour for Military Parade I am hoping for a big run
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