Royal Ascot Betting Trends

DAY TWO: Andy Newton gives you all the trends and stats that matter as we move into the second day at Royal Ascot…

 

 

2.30 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £39,697 BBC1 Good To Soft 7f

9/10 – Had at least 1 run already that season
7/10 – Had 4 or more career runs
6/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/10 – Horses from stall 8 placed
6/10 – Had run at Ascot before
6/10 – Had won over 7f before
5/10 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Won their previous race
2/10 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
0/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Richard Hannon is only 2 from 89 with his 3 year-olds
Mick Channon is just 2 from 39 with his 3 year-olds
Bryan Smart is 2 from 8 with his 3 year-old at the track
Peter Chapple-Hyam has a 20% record (+£29) with his 3 year-olds
Jim Crowley is just 1 from 36 riding 3 year-olds
Neil Callan is only 1 from 24 riding 3 year-olds
Johnny Murtagh has a 19% record riding 3 year-olds


3.05 -
Windsor Forest Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £56,710 BBC1 Good To Soft 1m

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Had won over a mile before
7/8 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
7/8 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
6/8 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/8 – Won by a 4 year-old
6/8 – Had run at Ascot before
5/8 – Favourites that were placed
4/8 – Had won at Ascot before
3/8 – Ran at Epsom last time out
3/8 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
3/8 – Returned a double-figure price
2/8 – Won by James Fanshawe
2/8 – Winning favourites (1 co)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 15/2
Only one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 8 runnings

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

John Dunlop is just 1 from 25 with his older horses
Richard Fahey is just 2 from 63 with his older horses
Saeed Bin Suroor is only 3 from 60 with his older horses
James Fanshawe has a 21% (+£28) record with his older horses at the track
John Gosden has a 19% (+£30) record with his older horses
David Probert is just 1 from 32 riding older horses
Tom Queally is only 2 from 47 riding older horses
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 45 riding older horses
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 25 riding 4+year-olds
Neil Callan is just 2 from 59 riding older horses at the track

 

3.45 - 150th Anniversary of Prince of Wales´s Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £283,550 BBC2 Good To Soft 1m2f

 

10/10 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
10/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/10 – Were previous Group 1 winners
9/10 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
9/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
5/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Had run at Ascot before
2/10 – Won by Godolphin
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
3 of the last 5 runnings have gone to a French-based horse

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Aidan O’Brien has a 37% strike-rate with his older horse
John Gosden has a 19% (+£30) strike-rate with his older horses
Saeed Bin Suroor is just 3 from 31 with his older horse
Christophe Soumillon is 2 from 8 riding older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 29% record riding older horses
Neil Callan is just 2 from 59 riding older horses at the track


4.25 -
Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £77,813 BBC2 Good To Soft 1m

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

10/10 – Had won over at least a mile before
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
8/10 – Carried 9-1 or less
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Returned a double-figure price
6/10 – Had run at Ascot before
6/10 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc the last 5 runnings)
4/10 – Won their last race
2/10 – Won by James Fanshawe
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 16/1
High number stalls have dominated in recent years

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

James Fanshawe has a 21% record with his older horses
Paul D’Arcy is 2 from 8 running older horses
David Simcock is just 3% with his older horses
Saeed Bin Suroor is only 3 from 60 with his older horses
Richard Fahey is only 2 from 63 with his 4+ year-olds
George Margarson is only 1 from 26 with his older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 29% record with his older horses
Tom Queally is just 3 from 49 riding older horses
Neil Callan is just 2 from 59 riding older horses at the track
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 45 riding older horses
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 25 riding 4+year-olds
David Probert is just 1 from 32 riding older horses
Shane Kelly is just 1 from 39 riding older horses
Martin Lane is only 1 from 24 riding older horses

5.00 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £42,533 BBC2 Good To Soft 5f

10/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
9/10 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
8/10 – Won their previous race
8/10 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
7/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price
2/10 – Won by Richard Hannon
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Ed Dunlop has a 30% record with his 2 year-olds
Tom Dascombe is just 1 from 20 with his juveniles
Michael Bell has a 19% record with his 2 year-olds
David Brown is 1-from-1 with his 2 year-olds
Jamie Spencer has a 31% (+£36) record riding 2 year-olds
Martin Harley is 2 from 6 riding 2 year-olds
Martin Dwyer is 4 from 20 riding 2 year-olds
Johnny Murtagh is just 1 from 20 riding 2 year-olds
Frankie Dettori is only 2 from 39 riding 2 year-olds


5.35 -
Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo 0-110) Winner £31,191 BBCi
Good To Soft 1m

 

9/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
9/10 – Had never run at Ascot before
8/10 – Carried 8-11 or more
7/10 – Had won over at least 7f before
7/10 – Placed in their previous race
7/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
6/10 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price
4/10 – Won their last race
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/10 – Won by Jamie Spencer
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Tom Dascombe is 3 from 8 with his 3 year-olds
Richard Hannon is has just a 2% record with his 3 year-olds
Mick Channon is just 2 from 39 with his 3 year-olds
Richard Kingscote is 2 from 9 riding 3 year-olds
Jim Crowley is just 1 from 36 riding 3 year-olds
Neil Callan is only 1 from 24 riding 3 year-olds

 

All trainer and jockey stats correct as 19th June 2012

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