Royal Ascot Betting Trends

DAY THREE: It's Ladies' Day at Royal Ascot today and Andy Newton's got all the trends & stats that matter ahead of the six LIVE BBC races.

 

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £42,533 BBC1 Good 5f

10/10 – Previous winners over 5f
10/10 - Had a RPR of 106+
10/10 – Had at least 1 previous run
9/10 – Won their previous race
9/10 – Had never raced at Ascot before
8/10 – Foaled in March or April
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Windsor last time out
3/10 – Returned a double-figure price
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Adam Kirby is 3 from 11 riding 2 year-olds (+£70)
Johnny Murtagh is just 1 from 23 riding 2 year-olds
Frankie Dettori is only 2 from 41 riding juveniles


3.05 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 BBC1Good To Soft 1m4f

9/10 – Placed in their previous race
9/10 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
8/10 – Had never raced at Ascot before
8/10 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
5/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won by Godolphin
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Dermot Weld won this in 2002 – PRINCESS HIGHWAY
William Haggas won this in 2006 – VOW

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Hughie Morrison has a 25% (+£35) record with his 3 year-olds
Ralph Beckett is only 1 from 22 with his 3 year-olds
Johnny Murtagh has a 18% record riding 3 year-olds
Jim Crowley is just 1 from 38 riding 3 year-olds
Michael Hills is only 1 from 27 riding 3 year-olds


3.45 - Gold Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £198,485 BBC2 Good To Soft 2m4f

10/10 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
8/10 – Aged 5 or older
8/10 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
8/10 – Previous Group 1 winners
8/10 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
7/10 – Favourites that were placed
6/10 – Won their last race
5/10 – Won by Aidan O’Brien
5/10 – Won by the favourite
3/10 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
3/10 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2004
Since 1949 there have been 13 multiple winners of the race

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Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Aidan O’Brien has a 35% record with his older horses
Saeed Bin Suroor is just 3 from 64 with his older horses
John Gosden has a 21% record with his 4+year-olds (+£40)
Johnny Murtagh has a 27% strike-rate riding older horses
Paul Hanagan is just 1 from 28 riding older horses here



4.25 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) Winner £62,250 BBC2 Good 1m

9/10 – Failed to win their previous race
9/10 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
9/10 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
8/10 – Carried 8-13 or less
8/10 – Had never run at Ascot before
8/10 – Placed last time out
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Had only won over 7f previously
6/10 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Richard Hannon has only got a 2% record with his 3 year-olds
Mick Channon is just 2 from 42 with his 3 year-olds
Tom Dascombe has a 33% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds
Jim Crowley is just 1 from 38 riding 3 year-olds
Tadhg O’Shea is only 1 from 26 riding 3 year-olds
Neil Callan is just 1 from 25 riding 3 year-olds
Robert Winston has a 27% record riding 3 year-olds
John Fahy is 2 from 7 riding 3 year-olds


5.00 - Tercentenary Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £39,697 BBC2 Good To Soft 1m2f

9/10 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/10 – Had not raced at Ascot before
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
6/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/10 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/10  - Ran at Epsom last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Richard Hannon has only got a 2% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds
Sir Henry Cecil has an 18% record with his 3 year-olds
Frankie Dettori has a 17% riding 3 year-olds
Tom Queally has a 16% record riding 3 year-olds


5.35 -
King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) Winner £34,238 BBCi Good To Soft 1m4f

10/10 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/10 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
10/10 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
10/10 – Never raced at Ascot before
9/10 – Placed last time out
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
6/10 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
6/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (3)
4/10 – Won their previous race
3/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Richard Hannon has only got a 2% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds
Luca Cumani has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds
Ralph Beckett is just 1 from 22 with his 3 year-olds
Neil Callan is just 1 from 25 riding 3 year-olds
Richard Hughes is just 4 from 66 riding 3 year-olds

 

Trainer and Jockey stats correct as 21st June 2012

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1 reply
  1. jim says:

    good stuff andy strong stats in the norfolk point to reckless abandon we live in hope and seek the value

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