Royal Ascot Betting Trends

DAY FOUR: As we move into Friday at Royal Ascot, Andy Newton continues with his race-by-race trends analysis

 

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £34,026 BBC1 Good 6f

 

10/10 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
10/10 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
10/10 – Never raced at Ascot before
9/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price
6/10 – Won their previous race
6/10 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (2) or Noseda (2)
3/10 – Ran at Sandown last time
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
1/10 – Previous winner over 6f
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Peter Chapple-Hyam has a 22% record with his 2 year-olds
Ed Dunlop has a 27% record with his 2 year-olds
Jamie Spencer had a 30% (+£35) record riding 2 year-olds
Martin Harley is 2 from 7 riding 2 year-olds
Phillip Makin is 2 from 8 on 2 year-olds
Johnny Murtagh is just 1 from 24 riding 2 year-olds
William Buick is 0 from 21 riding 2 year-olds

 

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £85,065 BBC1Good 1m4f

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
10/10 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
8/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/10 – Had never raced at Ascot before
7/10 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

 

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Sir Henry Cecil has an 17% record with his 3 year-olds
Jeremy Noseda is just 2 from 31 with his 3 year-olds
John Dunlop is just 2 from 26 with his 3 year-olds
Johnny Murtagh has an 18% record riding 3 year-olds
Richard Hughes is just 4 from 70 riding 3 year-olds

 

3.45 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £154,535 BBC2 Good 1m

10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won over at least 7f before
8/10 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
8/10 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
6/10 – Had won over 1 mile before
6/10 – Had run at Ascot before (2 winners)
5/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/10 – Ran in that seasons English 1,000 Guineas
5/10 – Were unplaced last time out
3/10 – Ran in that seasons Irish 1,000 Guineas
2/10 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Mick Channon is just 2 from 43 with his 3 year-olds
Frankie Dettori has a 17% record riding 3 year-olds
William Buick has a +£30 level stakes profit riding 3 year-olds

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4.25 -
Wolferton Handicap (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) Winner £31,191 BBC2 Good 1m2f

9/10 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
8/10 – Aged 4 years-old
7/10 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Carried 8-11 or more
7/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/10 – Ran at either York (3) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price
6/10 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
5/10 – Had run at Ascot before
2/10 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables - MIJHAAR
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

John Gosden has a 21% (+£39) record with his older horses
David Simcock is just 1 from 36 with his older horses
Luca Cumani is only 1 from 41 with his older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 27% record riding older horses
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 48 riding older horses
Neil Callan is only 2 from 62 riding older horses
David Probert is just 1 from 35 riding 4+ year-olds
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 29 riding 4+ year-olds
James Doyle is 0 from 20 riding older horses

 

5.00 - Queen´s Vase (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £34,026 BBC2 Good 2m

9/10 – Had never raced at Ascot before
9/10 - Won Mark Johnston, Godolphin or Aidan O'Brien
8/10 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
7/10 – Placed last time out
7/10 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

James Given is 1 from 2 with his 3 year-olds
Andrew Balding is just 4 from 59 with his 3 year-olds
Johnny Murtagh has an 18% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds
Richard Hughes is only 4 from 70 riding 3 year-olds
Jim Crowley is just 1 from 39 riding 3 year-olds
Michael Hills is only 1 from 27 riding 3 year-olds

 

5.35 - Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) Winner £46,688 BBCi Good 7f

10/10 – Favourites not to finish in the top three
9/10 – Aged 7 or younger
8/10 – Carried 8-12 or less
8/10 – Had already had at least 3 runs that season
8/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/10 – Had run at Ascot before
7/10 – Had at least 2 previous wins to their name
7/10 – Had won over 7f before
5/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
0/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 16/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

James Fanshawe has a 19% record (+£26) with his older horses
Mick Channon is just 1 from 50 with his older horses
Richard Fahey is only 2 form 67 with his older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 27% record riding older horses
Luke Morris is 0 from 25 riding older horses
Darryll Holland is just 1 from 37 riding older horses
Paul Hanagan is just 1 from 29 riding older horses
Neil Callan is only 2 from 62 riding older horses
Michael Hills is just 2 from 39 riding older horses
Kieren Fallon is only 1 from 48 riding older horses

 

All trainer/jockey stats correct as 21st June 2012

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