Royal Ascot Betting Trends

DAY ONE: Andy Newton gives you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the opening day of the five-day 2012 Royal Ascot meeting.

 

Day One – Tuesday 19th June 2012

 

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £198,485 BBC1 Good To Soft 1m


10/10 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
9/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had already won a Group 1 race
8/10 – Had never run at Ascot before
8/10 – Previous winners over 1 mile
7/10 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/10 – Trained by either R Hannon (2), A P O’Brien (2) or Godolphin (3)
6/10 – Favourites that were unplaced
4/10 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
4/10 – Won their previous race
3/10  - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/10 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
1/10 – Winning favourites

Sir Henry Cecil won the race in 1981, 82, 83 & 84
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Sir Henry Cecil is just 1 from 22 with his older horses at the track
Aidan O’Brien is 11 from 30 (37%) with his 4+year-olds here
Michael Hills is just 2 from 38 riding older horses here
Tom Queally is just 2 from 47 riding older horses here
Richard Hughes has a +£26 level stakes profit riding 4+year-olds here


3.05 -
King´s Stand Stakes (British Champions Series & Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £198,485 BBC1 Good To Soft 5f

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
8/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Had won a Group race before
8/10 – Finished first or second last time out
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/10 – Won by a non-UK trained horse
6/10 – Favourites that were placed
4/10 – Favourites that finished third
4/10 – Had run at Ascot before (3 had won at the track)
3/10 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Roger Charlton is just 1 from 20 with his older horses here
Luke Morris is 0 from 22 riding 4+year-old here
Dane O’Neill is 0 from 40 riding older horses at the track
Johnny Murtagh is 13 from 45 (29%) riding older horses here

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3.45 -
St James´s Palace Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £167,295 BBC2 Good To Soft 1m

10/10 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
9/10 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
9/10 – Favourites that were placed
8/10 – Had won over a mile before
8/10 – Previous Group 1 winners
7/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/10 – Won their previous race
7/10 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (5 won it)
7/10 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/10 – Won by Aidan O’Brien
4/10 – Had run at Ascot before
2/10 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Bryan Smart is 2 from 8 with his 3 year-old here
Mick Channon is just 2 from 39 with his 3 year-olds here
Clive Britain is 0 from 26 with his 3 year-olds at the track
William Buick has a +£34 level stakes profit when riding 3 year-olds here
Johnny Murtagh has a 19% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds here
Richard Hughes is just 4 from 63 (6%) when riding 3 year-olds here

4.25 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £48,204 BBC2 Good To Soft 6f

10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Won their previous race
10/10 – Had never raced at Ascot before
9/10 – Had at between 1 and 2 previous career runs
7/10 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/10 – Won over 6f before
5/10 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
3/10 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Richard Hannon is +£18 with his 2 year-olds at Ascot
Johnny Murtagh is just 1 from 20 riding 2 year-olds here
Frankie Dettori is only 2 from 39 riding 2 year-olds here
Martin Dwyer has a 20% (4 from 20) record riding 2 year-olds at the track


5.00 -
Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) Winner £34,238 BBC2 Good To Soft 2m4f

9/10 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
8/10 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/10 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
7/10 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/10 – Won their previous race
3/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

David Simcock is just 1 from 33 with his older horses at the track
Andrew Balding has a -£49 level stakes loss with his older horses here
Tom Queally is just 2 from 47 riding older horses here
Darryll Holland is only 1 from 35 riding older horses at the track
David Probert is just 1 from 32 riding older horses here
Kieren Fallon is only 1 from 45 riding older horses at the course

5.35 -
Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £31,191 BBCi Good To Soft 5f

10/10 – Had at least 1 previous outing
9/10 – Had never run at Ascot before
9/10 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
8/10 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
8/10 – Placed last time out
7/10 – Had won over 5f before
6/10 – Won their previous race
5/10 – Won by a Feb foal
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 20/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Tom Dascombe is just 1 from 20 with his 2 year-olds here
Richard Hannon has a +£18 level stakes profit with his 2 year-olds here
Johnny Murtagh is only 1 from 20 riding 2 year-olds at the track

 

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