Prince William acknowledges a fellow Villa fan at Royal Ascot 2016

Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FIVE (Sat 24th June 2017)

As we move into the final day at ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

 

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

14/14 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
13/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Ran over 6f last time out (8 won)
12/14 – Had just 1 previous career run
11/14 – Were foaled in March or earlier
9/14 – Won their previous race
9/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/14 – Irish trained-winners (Aiden O’Brien)
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before
Trainer Michael Bell has a 33% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 22% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 1-8
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (3)
8 of the last 11 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 7/1

3.05 - Wolferton Handicap (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Handicap Recent Winners

2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Handicap Key Trends

12/14 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
11/14 – Aged 4 years-old
11/14 – Carried 8-11 or more
10/14 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
9/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/14 – Had run at Ascot before
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Winning favourites
Trainer Roger Charlton has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
8 of the last 11 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10/1

3.40 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

14/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/14 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
13/14 – Placed last time out
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (6)
10/14 – Had run at Ascot before
8/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 7 winners)
5/14 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
5/14 – Winning favourites
6/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
9 of the last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
7 of the last 11 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)
Trainer Roger Charlton has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 11/2

4.20 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

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13/14 – Previous distance (6f) winners
11/14 – Failed to win their last race
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Had run at Ascot before
11/14 – Previous Group Race winners
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price
8/14 – Won by a UK-based yard
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
3/14 – Winning favourite (joint)
5 of the last 12 winners were Irish-bred
7 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners returned a double-figure price
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 13/1

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
17/17 – Had no more than 4 runs that season
16/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Ran sixth or better last time out
15/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Had won a race over 6f before
11/17 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before (6 had won here)
7/17 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
5/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Won by the favourite
Trainer Roger Charlton has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 12/1
9 of the last 11 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
8 of the last 11 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure draw
The last SEVEN winners came from a double-figure stall
In the last 7 runnings all of the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 6 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 7 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 29 winners returning a double-figure price

5.35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

12/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/14 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
8/14 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
7/14 – Had run at Ascot before
4/14 – Won by a NH yard
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Willie Mullins
8 of the last 11 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
The last 11 winners ALL came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
10 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

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