Royal Ascot Trends – DAY ONE (Tues 18th June 2019)

We kick-start another ROYAL ASCOT with the normal bang and three Group One's on the day with the Queen Anne Stakes, King's Stand Stakes and the St James's Palace Stakes the feature contests. But we've got all the opening day's races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2018Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Previous winners over 1 mile
13/17 – Had already won a Group 1 race
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
12/17 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/17 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (4)
8/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
8/17 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 1 winner from Stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

17/17 – Won their previous race
16/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 - Came from the top three in the betting
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
12/17 - Foaled in either Feb or March
11/17 – Won over 6f before
9/17 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/17 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/17 - Won by a Jan foal
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

3.40 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2018 - Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

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17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
14/17 – Aged 4 or older
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
12/17 – Finished first or second last time out
12/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before (7 had won at the track)
9/17 – Favourites placed
6/17 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/17 – Favourites that finished third
3/17 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/17 – 3 Year-old winners
2/17 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 10 of the last 11 runnings

4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2018 - Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

17/17 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
15/17 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
14/17 – Favourites that were placed
14/17 – Had won over a mile before
12/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
10/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
5/17 – Had run at Ascot before
5/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
Just 1 winner from stall 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4 or 5

5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

15/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/17 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
13/17 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
10/17 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/17 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 11 runnings

 

5.35 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

13/16 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
12/16 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
11/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/16 – Had run at Ascot before
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners returned 7/1 or bigger

 

 

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