Royal Ascot Trends – DAY ONE (Tues 19th June 2018)

We kick-start another ROYAL ASCOT with the normal bang and three Group One's on the day with the Queen Anne Stakes, King's Stand Stakes and the St James's Palace Stakes the feature contests. But we've got all the opening day's races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Previous winners over 1 mile
13/16 – Had already won a Group 1 race
13/16 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
12/16 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/16 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/16 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (4)
8/16 – Won their previous race
7/16 – Favourites that were unplaced
7/16 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16  - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 1 winner from Stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 4 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 4/1

3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

16/16 – Won their previous race
15/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 - Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Had at between 1 and 2 previous career runs
12/16 - Foaled in either Feb or March
10/16 – Won over 6f before
8/16 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
5/16 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/16 - Won by a Jan foal
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 13/2

3.40 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

16/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
13/16 – Aged 4 or older
12/16 – Finished first or second last time out
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
9/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Had run at Ascot before (6 had won at the track)
6/16 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/16 – Favourites that finished third
3/16 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/16 – 3 Year-old winners
2/16 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 9 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/2

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4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

16/16 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
14/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
13/16 – Favourites that were placed
13/16 – Had won over a mile before
12/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/16 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/16 – Won their previous race
9/16 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
5/16 – Had run at Ascot before
5/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
No winner from stall 1 or 2 in the last 10 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 3/1

5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

14/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
13/16 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
12/16 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
10/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/16 – Won their previous race
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/16 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
No runners from stall 1 placed in the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

 

5.35 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

13/15 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
11/15 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
10/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 12 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

 

 

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