Royal Ascot Trends – DAY ONE (Tues 20th June 2017)

We kick-start another ROYAL ASCOT with the normal bang and three Group One's on the day with the Queen Anne Stakes, King's Stand Stakes and the St James's Palace Stakes the feature contests. But we've got all the opening day's races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

15/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Previous winners over 1 mile
12/15 – Had already won a Group 1 race
12/15 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
11/15 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/15 – Had never run at Ascot before
9/15 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (3)
7/15 – Favourites that were unplaced
7/15 – Won their previous race
6/15 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15  - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from Stall 1 in the last 9 runnings
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 4 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 9/2


3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

15/15 – Won their previous race
14/15 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 - Came from the top three in the betting
12/15 – Had at between 1 and 2 previous career runs
11/15 - Foaled in either Feb or March
9/15 – Won over 6f before
8/15 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
5/15 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/15 - Won by a Jan foal
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 10-19 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 6/1

 

3.40 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Aged 4 or older
13/15 – Had won a Group race before
11/15 – Finished first or second last time out
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
8/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Had run at Ascot before (5 had won at the track)
6/15 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
5/15 – Favourites that finished third
3/15 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – 3 Year-old winners
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 8 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 9/1

4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

15/15 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
13/15 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
13/15 – Favourites that were placed
12/15 – Had won over a mile before
12/15 – Previous Group 1 winners
10/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
10/15 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Won their previous race
9/15 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
5/15 – Had run at Ascot before
5/15 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
No winner from stall 1 or 2 in the last 9 runnings
5 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 3/1

 

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5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

13/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/15 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
12/15 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
10/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/15 – Won their previous race
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Trainer Alan King has 20% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
5 of the last 9 winners came from a double-figure stall
No runners from stall 1 placed in the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12.4/1

 

5.35 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

15/15 – Had at least 1 previous outing
14/15 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
12/15 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
12/15 – Had won over 5f before
11/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Had never run at Ascot before
8/15 – Won their previous race
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won by a Feb foal
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 9 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 17/1

 

 

 

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