Can Wings Of Desire win the Investec Derby?

Royal Ascot Trends – DAY THREE (Thurs 20th June 2019)

As we move into day three at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Ascot Gold Cup is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Previous winners over 5f
16/16 – Had at least 1 previous run
14/16 – Had a RPR of 106+
14/16 – Won their previous race
14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Foaled in March or April
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Windsor last time out
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

 

3.05 – Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends
15/16 – Had not raced at Ascot before
13/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 - Ran at Epsom last time out
3/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
8 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

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Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
12/16 – Placed in their previous race
13/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 7)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 5)
3/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

4.20 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

15/17 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
14/17 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
14/17 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
13/17 – Favourites that were placed
12/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
9/17 – Aged 5 or older
9/17 – Won by the favourite
7/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/17 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
11 of the last 13 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 13 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 13 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
13/16 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
12/16 – Failed to win their previous race
12/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/16 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
6/16 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
9 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
16/16 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
15/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/16 – Placed last time out
13/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
9/16 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
10 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

 

 

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