Can Wings Of Desire win the Investec Derby?

Royal Ascot Trends – DAY THREE (Thurs 21st June 2018)

As we move into day three at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Ascot Gold Cup is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends

15/15 – Previous winners over 5f
15/15 – Had at least 1 previous run
14/15 – Had a RPR of 106+
13/15 – Won their previous race
13/15 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/15 – Foaled in March or April
10/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Windsor last time out
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

3.05 – Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends

14/15 – Had not raced at Ascot before
12/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/15 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
9/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 - Ran at Epsom last time out
2/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
8 of the last 12 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 15/2

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

13/15 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
12/15 – Placed in their previous race
12/15 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
10/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/15 – Won their last race
5/15 – Irish-trained winners (4 of last 6)
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 15/2

 

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4.20 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

14/16 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
13/16 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
13/16 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
12/16 – Favourites that were placed
10/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Aged 5 or older
8/16 – Won by the favourite
7/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2
10 of the last 12 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7 of the last 12 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 13 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

13/15 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
12/15 – Failed to win their previous race
12/15 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
11/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/15 – Had never run at Ascot before
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price
8/15 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
6/15 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/15 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
8 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 13/1

 

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Key Trends

15/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
15/15 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
14/15 – Never raced at Ascot before
14/15 – Placed last time out
12/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
8/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Won their previous race
5/15 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (3)
4/15 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
7 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 10-15 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 13/1

 

 

 

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