Royal Ascot Trends – DAY TWO (Weds 19th June 2019)

As we move into day two at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Prince Of Wales's Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/17 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
15/17 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
14/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
3/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 4 runnings)
2/17 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

 

3.05 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
11/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/16 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 - Trained by Mark Johnston
6/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 12 runnings (4 wins)
12 of the last 13 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

 

3.40 - The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

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17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
14/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
14/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/17 – Were previous Group 1 winners
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3 of the last 11 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

4.20 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

14/15 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
14/15 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
14/15 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Favourites that were placed
7/15 – Had won at Ascot before
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/15 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/15 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/15 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings

 

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

16/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 8 of the last 10 runnings)
5/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/17 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/17 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
11 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 10 runnings

 

5.35 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 –
Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

17/17 – Had at least 1 previous outing
16/17 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
16/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
12/17 – Placed last time out
12/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
9/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
7/17 – Won by a Feb foal
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

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