Royal Ascot Trends – DAY TWO (Weds 20th June 2018)

As we move into day two at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Prince Of Wales's Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

15/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/16 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
14/16 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
14/16 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
13/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
3/16 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 3 runnings)
2/16 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 17/2

 

3.05 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

13/15 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/15 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
11/15 – Placed last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/15 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 - Trained by Mark Johnston
5/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 12 runnings (3 wins)
11 of the last 12 winners came from a single-figure stall
5 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7 or 8
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2

 

3.40 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

13/14 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
13/14 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
13/14 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/14 – Had run at Ascot before
8/14 – Favourites that were placed
7/14 – Had won at Ascot before
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/14 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/14 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/14 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/14 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 8/1
Only three placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

4.20 - The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
13/16 – Were previous Group 1 winners
13/16 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
8/16 – Had run at Ascot before
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 9/2
3 of the last 10 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

 

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

15/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/16 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 7 of the last 9 runnings)
5/16 – Won their last race
2/16 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/16 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 16.5/1
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
10 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 9 runnings

 

5.35 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

Jersey Stakes Trends

15/16 – Had at least 1 run already that season
12/16 – Had 4 or more career runs
10/16 – Had won over 7f before
9/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/16 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before
6/16 – Horses from stall 8 placed
6/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Won their previous race
2/16 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
3/16 – Winning favourites
The Irish have won 3 of the last 6 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 4 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

 

 

 Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

GET INVOLVED

 

Your first 30 days for just £1