Royal Ascot Trends – DAY TWO (Weds 21st June 2017)

As we move into day two at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Prince Of Wales's Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

 

2.30 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

Jersey Stakes Trends

14/15 – Had at least 1 run already that season
12/15 – Had 4 or more career runs
10/15 – Had won over 7f before
8/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
7/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Horses from stall 8 placed
7/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/15 – Won their previous race
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
2/15 – Winning favourites
The Irish have won 3 of the last 5 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 4 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/1

3.05 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

14/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/15 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
13/15 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
13/15 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
12/15 – Won their previous race
10/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including last 2 runnings)
2/15 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 17/2

3.40 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

12/13 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
12/13 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
12/13 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
11/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/13 – Won by a 4 year-old
9/13 – Had run at Ascot before
7/13 – Favourites that were placed
6/13 – Had won at Ascot before
4/13 – Ran at Epsom last time out
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price
4/13 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
4/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/13 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 15/2
Only three placed horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings

4.20 - The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/15 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
12/15 – Were previous Group 1 winners
12/15 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
12/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
7/15 – Had run at Ascot before
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 9/2
3 of the last 10 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

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5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

14/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Unplaced favourites
11/15 – Returned a double-figure price
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
9/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 6 of the last 8 runnings)
5/15 – Won their last race
2/15 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/15 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 16/1
Overall high number stalls have dominated in recent years
9 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 8 runnings

5.35 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m

Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

Sandringham Handicap Trends

14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
13/15 – Had never run at Ascot before
12/15 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Carried 8-11 or more
10/15 – Placed in their previous race
7/15 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
7/15 – Won their last race
6/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 15/2

 

 

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