Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 18th Nov 2017

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Lingfield. As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

 

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.40 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RUK

12/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
9/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/12 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
8/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
6/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/12 – German bred
3/12 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RUK

12/12 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
10/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/12 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
7/12 – Aged 6 years-old
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase (no winners)
6/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by David Pipe
2/12 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

1.50 - BetVictor Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

14/15 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
13/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
9/15  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
8/15 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Ran within the last month
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/15  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/15 – French bred
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
14/15 – Won by a UK-based trainer
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/15 – Had won at Cheltenham before
10/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
10/15 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (2)
9/15 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 5 carried 10-13 or more)
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
8/15 – Aged 7 years-old
8/15 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
7/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 8 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 32 runners
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 17/2

3.00 – Regulatory Finance Solutions Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
12/15 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/15 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
11/15 – Officially rated 126 to 137
11/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Ran within the last month
6/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/15 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Anteros won the race last season

3.30 - Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

11/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Returned a double-figure price
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/12 – Had run at Cheltenham before
6/12 – Irish bred winners
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – French bred winners
2/12 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1
2 of the last 5 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 9 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

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Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Rated between 103 and 112
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/11 – Placed last time out
8/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/11 – Won between 1-4 times before
7/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/2

3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

10/10 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
9/10 – Aged 4 or older
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Won 5 or more times before
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

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