Sat TV Racing Trends – 11th July 2015

A massive day ahead this Saturday with LIVE C4 action from Newmarket, York & Ascot - as always we've got all the races covered from a trends angle........

Find those TV winners!

Newmarket (C4/RUK)


2.00 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/13 – Won over 7f or further previously
10/13 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
10/13 – Had 2 or more runs that season
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
7/13 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
2/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

2.35 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Placed in their last race
12/13 – Won over at least 6f previously
10/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
10/13 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
9/13 – Won their latest race
9/13 – Won by either a March or April foal
8/13 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
6/13 – Favourites unplaced
4/13 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/13 – Winners from stall 3
4/13 – Trained my Richard Hannon
3/13 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
4/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.10 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

13/13 – Won over 7f previously
12/13 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/13 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
9/13 – Priced at double-figure price in the market
8/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 – Priced between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
7/13 – Winners from stall 15 or higher
7/13 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
6/13 – Placed last time out
6/13 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

3.45 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
11/13 – Won over 6f previously
10/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
10/13 – Had between 1-3 previous races that season
9/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/13 – Raced in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee last time out
8/13 – Placed in their last race
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
2/13 – Irish-trained winners
1/13 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 9/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968

York (C4/RUK)


1.45 - John Smith´s Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

11/11 – Priced 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
10/11 – Won over at least 1m previously
9/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/11 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
8/11 – Rated 90 or less
7/11 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
7/11 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
7/11 – Placed in their last race
6/11 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Won by a USA-bred horse
3/11 – Ran at York previously
3/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.20 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 5 or younger
9/9 – Raced between 1 and 3 times that season
8/9 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
7/9 – Failed to win last time out
5/9 – Aged 4 years-old
5/9 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
5/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Raced at York previously
4/9 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
4/9 – Luca Cumani horses that finished in the top three
3/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/9 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1

2.55 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
Take Cover won the race 12 months ago
4/4 – Aged 4 or older

3.25 – 56th John Smith´s Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Won over 1m1f or further previously
11/13 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
10/13 – Raced between 3-5 times that season
9/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/13 – Top 3 finish in their last race
8/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Raced at York previously
6/13 – Officially rated between 99-105
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
3/13 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/13 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out

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2/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 10.6/1

Ascot (C4/ATR)

2.10 - Totescoop6 Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

Just 2 previous running
Discussiontofollow won the race in 2014
2/2 – Priced 10/1 or bigger
2/2 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight

2.45 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
6/8 – Won over a mile previously
6/8 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
6/8 – Ran at Ascot before (1 won)
5/8 – Won at least 4 times previously
5/8 – Favourites placed
5/8 – Previous Group race winner
4/8 – Aged 4 years-old
3/8 – Won a Group 1 previously
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Favourites
2/8 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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