Sat TV Racing Trends: 24th Oct 2015

The C4 cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham this Saturday – We’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle…….

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Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

2.35 - betdaq.com 2% Commission Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

11/11 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/11 – Won over 5f previously
10/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/11 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
7/11 – Favourites unplaced
7/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Raced at Doncaster before (4 won)
7/11 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting
5/11 – Raced at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
4/11 – Won their last race
3/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Winners from stall 1
1/11 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the 9 years is 11/1

3.10 - Bet Through The Racing Post App Handicap Cl2 1m4f CH4

12/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
10/13 – Rated between 82 and 87
9/13 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or less
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
9/13 – Won over 1m2f previously
8/13 – Drawn in a single-figure stall
8/13 – Aged 3 years-old
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price
7/13 – Unplaced in their last race
6/13 – Priced between 9/2 and 6/1 in the betting
5/13 – Raced at Doncaster previously
2/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1

3.45 – Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 1m

13/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/13 - Foaled in February or later
11/13 – Won either 1 or 2 races before
11/13 – Placed in the top two last time out
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Ran with the last month
10/13 – Favourites
9/13 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/13 – Ran at least twice previously
9/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Raced at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
5/13 – Won by an Irish-based yard
4/13 – Won by a Montjeu colt
4/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/13 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/13 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/13 – Went onto win the St Leger
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

1.50 - Worthington´s Whizz Kidz Stakes (Registered as The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3 ) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f CH4

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12/13 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/13 – Priced15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Never raced at Newbury
10/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
9/13 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
8/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
7/13 – Foaled in February
7/13 – Won over 7f before
7/13 – Won their last race
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
6/13 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/13 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/14 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2.25 - Worthington´s Victoria Club Stakes (Registered as The St Simon Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Won at least twice before
12/13 – Won over at least 1m2f before
12/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had at least 4 runs that season
10/13 – Favourites placed
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/13 – Raced at Newbury before (4 won)
9/13 – Rated 107 or higher
8/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
8/13 – Placed horses from stall 6
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/13 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
5/13 – Won by a filly or mare
4/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Won their last race
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

3.00 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y CH4

12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/13 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
10/13 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
10/13 – Had at least 5 runs that season
9/13 – Won just 2 or 3 times previously
9/13 – Won over at least 1m2f before
9/13 – Raced at either York (4), Ascot  (2) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
4/13 – Raced at York last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/13 – Won last time out
1/13 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2
.10 - winner.co.uk Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y CH4

No previous runnings
Michael Scudamore has a 27% record with his chasers at the track
Alan King is just 5 from 60 with his chasers at the track

2.45 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y
6 previous runnings
5/6 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
4/6 – Irish bred winners
4/6 – Placed favourites
3/6 – Placed last time out
3/6 – Favourites
2/6 – Officially rated exactly 131
2/6 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
The average SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/2

3.20 - winner.co.uk Trophy (Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m1f CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over at least 3m before
8/8 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting market
7/8 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
6/8 – Favourites unplaced
6/8 – Rated 136 or higher
6/8 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
6/8 – First run of the season
5/8 – Won at Cheltenham before
5/8 – Irish bred winners
5/8 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/8 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/8 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/8 – Unplaced last time out
1/8 – Favourites
Roalco De Farges won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1

 

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