Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 10th Aug 2019

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2019

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

11/11 – Failed to win their last race
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/11 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
10/11 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/11 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/11 – Favourites  placed
6/11 – Had won over 5f previously
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/11 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/11 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
Tis Marvellous (6/1) won the race in 2018

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Carried 8-13 or more
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
12/15 – Rated between 86-94
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
12/15 – Had raced at the track before
11/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/15 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/15 – Won last time out
Cleonte (9/2) won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 12 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Officially rated between 87-94
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times previously
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
8/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/15 – Favourites that won
Genetics (9/1) won the race in 2018
One winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Won over at least a mile before
15/15 – Failed to win last time out
15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Rated between 92-100
14/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Had run at Ascot before
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/15 – Winning favourites
Via Serendipity (7/2) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 1
11 or the last 14 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Raced 3 or more times that season
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
7/10 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Favourites placed
2/10 – Favourites that won
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Berkshire Blue (9/2) won the race in 2018
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

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15/15 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
14/15 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks<
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won over 6f previously
13/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/15 – Won between 2-3 times previously
11/15 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/15 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/15 – Favourites placed
7/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/15 – Winning Favourites
Green Power (12/1) won the race in 2018
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

Haydock Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.55 – Vulcan Village Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried between 9-0 and 9-6
7/10 – Won over 1m before
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Horses from stall 5 finished in the top 2
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

2.30 – British Stallion Studs EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
8/8 – Won between 1-3 times
6/8 – Rated between 94-100
6/8 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
5/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/16 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/16 – Won a Listed or better class race before
12/16 – Won over 1m2f or further
12/16 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/16 – Won 3 or more times during their career
10/16 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/16 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/16 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Teodoro (10/1) won the race in 2018

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
13/16 – Won just once previously
12/16 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/16 – Yet to win over 7f
8/16 –  Favourites that won
7/16 – Had just one previous run
5/16 – Won by Godolphin
3/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (7/4 fav) won the race in 2018
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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