Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 10th Aug 2024

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in LIVE races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup Day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

1:35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

14/15 – Failed to win their last race
14/15 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
13/15 – Raced at Ascot previously
13/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Won at least 3 times in their career
9/15 – Had won over 5f previously
7/15 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
6/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/15 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/15 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 9 runnings)
3/15 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox (including 2 of the last 5)
Dream Composer was third in the race last year

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2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

17/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Carried 8-13 or more
16/19 – Rated between 86-94
15/19 – Had raced at the track before
15/19 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
13/19 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/19 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (7) last time out
11/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/19 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/19 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
5 of the last 14 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 15 runnings

2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
17/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
16/19 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
16/19 – Won between 1-4 times previously
16/19 – Officially rated between 87-94
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/19 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
7/19 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/19 – Favourites that won
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Two winners from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
4 of the last 17 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

19/19 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
17/19 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
17/19 – Won over 6f previously
16/19 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/19 – Won between 2-3 times previously
13/19 – Officially rated between 86-95
13/19 – Came from the top three in the betting market
13/19 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/19 – Favourites placed
7/19 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Winning Favourites
3/19 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
6 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
Last 3 winners drawn between 9-12
4 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 12

3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

13/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
11/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/14 – Officially rated between 84-91
7/14 – Favourites placed
4/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/14 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 4)
4/14 – Favourites that won
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8
90% of the last 10 winners came between stalls 5 and 9

4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

19/19 – Won over at least a mile before
18/19 – Failed to win last time out
18/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
18/19 – Rated between 92-100
18/19 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
17/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Won between 2-4 times before
14/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/19 – Had run at Ascot before
5/19 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Perotto won the race in 2023
3 of the last 17 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 12
13 or the last 17 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The last 5 winners came between stalls 9-12 (inc)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

2:25 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m ITV4

13/13 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 - Carried 9-0 or more
12/13 - Aged 3 or 4 years old
12/13 - Won between 1-3 times before
11/13 - Didn’t win last time out
11/13 - Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
11/13 - Previous winners over 1m
10/13 - Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Drawn between stalls 3-6 (inc)
9/13 - Carried between 9-0 and 9-6 in weight
9/13 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/13 - Rated between 81 and 89 (inc)
8/13 - Irish bred
7/13 - Aged 4 years-old
4/13 - Had run at the track before
3/13 - Winning favourites
2/13 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
60% of the last 10 winners came from stalls 3 or 4

3:00 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

20/21 – Aged 5 or younger
19/21 – Officially rated 105 or higher
16/21 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/21 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
17/21 – Yet to run at Haydock
17/21 – Favourites placed
17/21 – Won over 1m2f or further
17/21 – Run 3 or more times that season
15/21 – Won 3 or more times during their career
14/21 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
14/21 – Won a Listed or better class race before
14/21 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
14/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/21 – Finished unplaced in their last race
7/21 – Favourites that won
3/21 – Won by Johnston yard
2/21 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Jockey Jim Crowley has won the last 2 runnings
Anmaat won the race in 2022

4:45 – British Stallion Studs EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

11/13 – Won between 1-3 times
12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/13 – Rated between 94-100
7/13 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
6/13 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
5/13 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by William Haggas
2/13 – Trained by Roger Varian
The last 4 winners were all drawn 1 or 2

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

3:40 – Jenningsbet Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

19/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/21 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
18/21 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
18/21 – Won just once previously
17/21 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
17/21 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/21 – Had won over only 6f previously
13/21 – Favourites placed
12/21 – Raced at Newmarket (7) or Sandown (4) last time out
11/21 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
10/21 – Won their last race
9/21 – Favourites that won
8/21 – Yet to win over 7f
7/21 – Had just one previous run
5/21 – Won by Godolphin
3/21 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 10 runnings
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
7 of the last 17 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (5) or 2nd (2)
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