Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 10th Dec 2016

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues, plus the C4 cameras also head to Doncaster for two races - as always, we are on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats to help you find the best winning profiles based on past winners.

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Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.50 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f CH4

14/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
11/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
10/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Officially rated 142 or higher
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/14 – French bred
7/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
4/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Ran in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/14 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/14 – Winning favourites (last winning fav 1996)
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9.5/1


2.25 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/12 – Placed favourites
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 6 or younger
9/12 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
9/12 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
8/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
7/12 – Had won at Cheltenham before
7/12 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
7/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2

 

3.00 – StanJames.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f CH4

14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/14 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
14/14 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
12/14 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
12/14 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
11/14 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
11/14 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
11/14 – Won their latest race
10/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
10/14 –  Favourites placed
10/14 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
10/14 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/14 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Rated 162 or higher
7/14 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/14 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
3/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/14 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/14 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/14 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
Paul Nicholls, Nicky Henderson, Philip Hobbs and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won 11 of the last 14 runnings between them
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

 

2.40 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/6 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
5/6 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
5/6 – Priced 9/4 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Placed favourites
4/6 – French (2) or Irish (2) bred
4/6 – Favourites
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/6 – Won last time out
3/6 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2 of the last 7 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 15/8

Note from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

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3.15 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/6 – Had won just once before over hurdles
6/6 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 3
5/6 – Irish (3) or French (2) bred
4/6 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
4/6 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
3/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/6 – Trained by John Quinn
2/6 – Ridden by Dougie Costello
1/6 – Favourites
Trainer Alan King won the race 12 months ago
Peace and Co won the race in 2015 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 6/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"We are running Sunshineandbubbles back in an auction maiden today as it is such a small field so seemed like a good opportunity. She is wrong in at the weights on her handicap mark, but some of her best runs have been at the track so if she puts in a similar effort today then we hope she can get involved."
Mark Loughnane

07/12/16 1st 16/1

"Forceful Appeal - Been coming along steadily and a regular winner at this time of year. Wide passage and no luck in-running at Chelmsford last week, good record here and won this 12 months ago, but again drawn wide (11) so needs things to fall right for him. Cannot be discounted."
Simon Dow

07/12/16 1st 6/1

"Many Clouds - Everything has gone to plan so far and I am very happy with him. He had a little wind op after the National this year and had a good gallop round Newbury a few weeks ago. Looking forward to seeing him back on the track and he should give a good account of himself."
Oliver Sherwood

03/12/16 1st 3/1

"Two Smokin Barrels - Improved with every run last season. Winner of a point-to-point so should improve for going chasing. Has schooled well at home and ground conditions shold be fine - looks a tricky race, but she has a chance."
Michael Scudamore

03/12/16 1st 7/2

 

 

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