Sat TV Trends: 10th Jan 2015

As we head further into the New Year the C4 cameras are at Kempton and Warwick this weekend with the Lanzarote Hurdle and the Classic Chase the two feature races at each track.
As always Andy Newton's got all the key trends for the LIVE races here.

Kempton (RUK/C4)

2.10 – williamhill.com Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

10/11 – Won no more than twice over fences before
10/11 – Officially rated 129 or less
9/11 – Winning distance – 2 3/4 lengths or less
9/11 – Run within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Aged 9 or younger
8/11 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/11 – Carried 11-6 or less in weight
8/11 – Run over fences at Kempton previously (2 won)
7/11 – Won over at least 2m3f (fences) previously
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Won only 1 or 2 times over fences previously
7/11 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
6/11 – Officially rated between 122-130
5/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Favourites
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price
2/11 – Ran at Ludlow last time out
1/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2007 Idole First RP Plate)

Note: The 2006 running was staged at Carlisle

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 35% record over fences at the track
Alan King has just a 5% record over fences at the track
Barry Geraghty has a 33% record riding over fences at the track
Wayne Hutchinson is just 1 from 24 over fences at the track

2.40 – William Hill Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f CH4

13/13 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
12/13 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
12/13 – Aged 7 or younger
10/13 – Won exactly 2 times over hurdles previously
10/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Never won a hurdles race over this trip or longer previously
9/13 – Irish (5) or French (4) bred
9/13 – Winning distance 2 ¼ lengths or less
8/13 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
8/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/13 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Aged 6 years-old
6/13 – Won their last race
4/13 – Raced at Kempton before (3 won)
3/13-  Favourites winning
2/13 – Trained by Nick Williams
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 8/1
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (33 runnings) 29 winners have been aged 7 or younger
Note: the 2006 running was a dead heat between Rayshan & Buck Whaley and run at Carlisle

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Emma Lavelle has a 27% record with her hurdlers at the track
Nick Williams has a 36% record with his hurdlers at the track
Venetia Williams is just 1 from 28 with her hurdlers at the track
Barry Geraghty has a 28% record riding over hurdles at the track

3.15 - William Hill - Bet On The Move Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

Just two previous runnings
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race last season
No winning favourites
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 35% record with this chasers at the course
Trainer Paul Webber has a 26% record with his chasers at the course
Trainer Alan King is just 2 from 40 with his chasers at the course
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 31 with his chasers at the course

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 35% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Webber has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
Alan King has just a 5% record over fences at the track
Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 31 with his chasers at the track
Barry Geraghty has a 33% record riding over fences at the track

 

Warwick (RUK/C4)

1.20 – Betfred Mobile Handicap Chase (For the Edward Courage Cup) Cl3 2m

8/8 – Finished in the top 4 in their last race
8/8 – Won a chase race over 2m (or further)
7/8 – Officially rated between 119-128
7/8 – Carried 10-10 or more weight
6/8 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Favourites placed
5/8 – Raced within the last 2 weeks
5/8 – Aged 7 or younger
5/8 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/8 – Raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/8 – French bred winners
4/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
3/8 – Raced (fences) at Warwick previously
3/8 – Aged 7 years-old
3/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewalsis 4/1

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Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Venetia Williams has a 24% record with her chasers at the track
Nick Williams has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
Daryl Jacob has a 33% record riding over fences at the track

1.55 - Betfred Mobile Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m110y CH4

No previous runnings

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Trainer Alan King has  33% record with his chasers at the track
Leighton Aspell has a 38% record with his chasers at the track
Richard Johnson has a 31% record riding over fences here

2.25 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f CH4

9/9 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/9 – Won between 1-4 times over hurdles previously
8/9 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
7/9 – Yet to race over hurdles at Warwick
7/9 – Officially rated between 127-142
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
7/9 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
6/9 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
3/9 – Won their last race
2/9 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/9 – Favourites
2/9 – Raced at Bangor last time out
2/9 – Won by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 8/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 33% record with his hurdlers at the track
Alan King has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track

3.00 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Leamington Novices´ Hurdle) Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f

8/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
8/8 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
7/8 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/8 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/8 – Ran at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
5/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Favourites
5/8 – Favourites placed
5/8 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less4/8 – Aged 5 years-old
4/8 – Won their last race
2/8 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 11/4

Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Nicky Henderson has a 33% record with his hurdlers at the track
Gavin Sheehan has a 56% record riding over hurdles at the track
Harry Skelton is just 1 from 19 riding over hurdles here
Daryl Jacob is just 2 from 27 riding here over hurdles

3.35 – Betfred Classic Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f CH4

9/9 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Won a chase race over at least 3m
7/9 –  Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/9 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/9 – Carried 11-1 or less
6/9 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
6/9 – Irish bred horse
6/9 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
6/9 – Officially rated between 129-140
6/9 – Raced at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
6/9 – Won between 2-5 times over fences previously
5/9 – Ran at Warwick (hurdles, chase NH Flat) previously
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
5/9 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
4/9 – Priced a double-figure price
3/9 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all failed to finish)
2/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Alan King
2/9 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 9.4/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Alan King has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 40% record with his chasers at the track
Leighton Aspell has a 38% record with his chasers at the track
Daryl Jacob has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
Richard Johnson has a 31% record riding over fences here

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