Sat TV Trends: 10th Oct 2015

Decent cards at Newmarket and York this Saturday, including the Cesarewitch Handicap – we’ve got the key trends  for all the LIVE TV races.

Find those TV winners!

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends and Stats (RUK/C4)

2.00 - Dubai European Breeders´ Fund Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Only 1 previous running
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 2 year-olds here
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 27 with his 2 year-olds here
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute is just 3 from 41 with his 2 year-olds here

2.35 - Vision Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

10/10 – Won over at least 7f
10/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
9/10 – Raced at least twice before
8/10 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/10 – Won their last race
7/10 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Favourites
1/10 – Irish-trained winners
The Charles Hills yard won the race 12 months ago
Kingston Hill won this race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1
Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

3.10 - Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Ran at least 3 times that season
12/13 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
11/13 – Placed last time out
10/13 – Won over 7f
9/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Ran at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (4) last time out
8/13 – Won at least 3 times
8/13 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Won a Group race previously
7/13 – Won by an Irish-based stable
6/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/13 – Priced 20/1 or bigger
5/13 – Placed horses from stall 2
5/13 – Favourites
5/13 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/13 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
4/13 – Placed in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/13 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

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3.50 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4

12/13 – Aged 4 or older
11/13 – Won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
11/13 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/13 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/13 – Placed 4th or better last time out
9/13 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/13 – Aged 5 or older
8/13 – Won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/13 – Won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/13 – Raced at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
7/13 – The first three home returned double-figure odds
7/13 – Had run at the track before
6/13 – Won by a NH trainer
3/13 – Winning mares
2/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 24.5/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

YORK Horse Racing Stats (RUK/C4)

1.45 - TitanBet.co.uk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m208y CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
Richard Fahey (2), John Gosden and Mark Johnston have won the race
4/4 – Unplaced in their last race
4/4 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/4 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
3/4 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
3/4 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Won 2 or 3 times before
3/4 – Rated between 93-98
2/4 – USA bred
2/4 – Winners from stall 4
2/4 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/4 – Favourites
Mark Johnston is just 5 from 81 with his 3 year-olds at the track
William Haggas has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at York

2.15 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

Just two previous running
Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Charlie Appleby (Godolphin) won the race in 2014
No winning favourite yet
Mark Johnston is just 3 from 75 with his older horses at the track
Andrew Balding is only 3 from 45 with his older horses here

2.50 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

12/12– Raced within the last month
11/12 – Foaled in March or later
11/12 – Won between 1 and 3 times
10/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Won over 6f before
9/12 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/12 – Never raced at York before
7/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Unplaced in their last race
6/12 – Raced at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/12 – Winners from stall 2
4/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Filly winners
2/12 – Placed horses (both 2nd) from stall 1
2/12 – Trained by Tim Easterby
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/2

3.25 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4
12/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Won at least 3 races
11/12 – Ran 6 or more times that season
11/12 – Ran at York before
11/12 – Won a race over 6f before
8/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/12 – Aged 5 or younger
8/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/12 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/12 – Rated between 92 and 98
7/12 – Placed in the top 4 in their last race
7/12 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
7/12 – Favourites unplaced
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/13 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 12/1

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