Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends – 10th Sept 2016

Like all big race days Andy Newton is on hand with the key TV trends - this Saturday the C4 cameras head to Chester and Doncaster, and include the Ladbrokes St Leger - the final Classic of the 2016 turf flat season - plus we've also got the Irish Champion Stakes, from Leopardstown, covered for you this week.

 

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Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (More4/ATR)

 

2.00 - At The Races Champagne Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f More4

14/15 - Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Won by a Feb or March foal
13/15 – Had won over 7f before
13/15 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
12/15 – Favourites placed
12/15 – Finished third or better last time out
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or the Curragh last time out
8/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won by Godolphin
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/15 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
2/15 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/15 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
2/15 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4.2/1
Note: 2005 renewal was a dead-heat

 

2.35 - Ladbrokes Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y More4

14/14 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/14 – Won over 6f before
11/14 – Had run 5 or more times that season
11/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Winner rated between 95 and 101
11/14 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Won 4 or more times in their career
10/14 – Run at Doncaster previously
8/14 – Unplaced Favourites
6/14 – Placed in their last race
6/14 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 6 of last 8 years)
6/14 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
4/14 – Raced at Ripon last time out
3/14 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13.4/1

 

3.10 – The Saint Gobain Weber Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f More

11/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/13 – Run 3 or more times that season
11/13 – Won 3 or more times before
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
10/13 – Won over 7f before
10/13 – Won a Group race previously
10/13 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
9/13 – Unplaced in their most recent race
9/13 – Aged 4 or older
7/13 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/13 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/13 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
3 Irish-trained winners in the last 7 runnings
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.45 - Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y CH4

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13/14 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won a Group race before
10/14 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
10/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
10/14 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
9/14 – Officially rated 109 to 115
9/14 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
8/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (2 won it)
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – USA-bred winners
3/14 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 4 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 7/1

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (More4/RUK)

2.15 – Betway Handicap Cl3 7f122y More4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried 8-13 or more
6/6 – Aged 4 or older
6/6 – Came from stall 5 or higher
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
4/6 – Aged 4 years-old
3/6 – Returned a double-figure price
2/6 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/6 – Carried 8-13
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/1

 

2.50 – Betway Stand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f66y CH4

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
10/10 – Had won at least twice before
9/10 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/10 – Had 2 or more runs that season
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Rated between 102-110
7/10 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
7/10 – Won at Listed or Group class before
6/10 – Favourites that finished either 1st or 2nd
4/10 – Ran at York last time out
3/10 – Had run at Chester before
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/10 – Trained by Pat Chamings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3.7/1

 

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

6.45 - QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f 

14/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/14 – Won 4 or more times before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Ran at York, Sandown or Ascot last time out
11/14 – Rated 120+
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
9/14 – Trained in Ireland
8/14 – Aged 3 years-old
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/14 – Previous course winners
6/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Returned odds-on
2/14 – Won the Coral Eclipse last time out
2/14 – Trained by John Oxx
2/14 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 3/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Fact Of The Matter - Is a nice horse. He won his bumper well, but struggled over hurdles in softer ground. He's had a wind op over the summer and he's been jumping well at home. This former point winner looks to be on a competitive mark despite this looking an open race, but went well fresh last time (won first time out) so no issues on that front and hoping the hood can help today too. Tough race, but the horses are running well so hopeful of a nice e/w run today."
Jamie Snowden

06/09/16 1st 5/1

"Purple Party - Ran well last time on her first run for the stable when fourth of 14 here at the track. Only fifth career run here today so and seems to be getting the hang of things. The only slight concern is the drop back in trip - but the horse has come out of that last race well and we think still has every chance."
Gary Moore

05/09/16 1st 9/2

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