Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 11th Aug 2018

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2018

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

10/10 – Failed to win their last race
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/10 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
9/10 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/10 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
8/10 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/10 – Favourites  placed
6/10 – Had won over 5f previously
5/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/10 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/10 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/10 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/10 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2 of the last 10 winners came from stall 11
Stake Acclaim (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2017

 

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Carried 8-13 or more
11/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/14 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
11/14 – Rated between 86-94
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
11/14 – Had raced at the track before
10/14 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/14 – Won last time out
Euchen Glen (7/1) won the race in 2017
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 11 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Officially rated between 87-94
12/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
11/14 – Won between 1-4 times previously
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/14 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/14 – Favourites that won
Great Hall (12/1) won the race in 2017
No winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Won over at least a mile before
14/14 – Failed to win last time out
14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/14 – Rated between 92-100
13/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/14 – Had run at Ascot before
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/14 – Winning favourites
Raising Sand (10/1) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 1
10 or the last 13 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

 

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Raced 3 or more times that season
7/9 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/9 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
6/9 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/9 – Favourites placed
2/9 – Favourites that won
2/9 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/9 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2017
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

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4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

14/14 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
13/14 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/14 – Won between 2-3 times previously
12/14 – Won over 6f previously
12/14 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/14 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/14 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/14 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/14 – Winning Favourites
Golden Apollo (4/1) won the race in 2017
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 - Smarkets Haydock Park Ladies´ Trophy Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders´ Race) Cl3 1m3f200y ITV4

Only two previous runnings
Azari (12/1) won the race in 2017
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

15/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/15 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/15 – Favourites placed
13/15 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/15 – Won a Listed or better class race before
11/15 – Won over 1m2f or further
11/15 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/15 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
10/15 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/15 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/15 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Frankuus (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won just once previously
13/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
11/15 – Had won over only 6f previously
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket (5) or Sandown (3) last time out
7/15 – Had just one previous run
7/15 –  Favourites that won
5/15 – Won by Godolphin
4/15 – Won over 7f previously
3/15 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (10/1) won the race in 2017
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
4 of the last 11 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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