Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 11th Feb 2017

Plenty more Cheltenham Festival clues on offer this weekend with decent cards at Newbury and Warwick – as always we've got all the ITV LIVE races covered for you......

 


 

 

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

1.50 - Betfair Acca Edge Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m52y ITV

12/12 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Had run within the last 9 weeks
9/12 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
8/12 – Aged 7 or younger
8/12 – Carried 10-13 or more
8/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
7/12 – Carried 11-1 or more
6/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Aged 7 years-old
5/12 – Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
5/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/12 – French bred
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Raced at Haydock last time out
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites


2.25 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

11/13 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
11/13 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Rated 150+
9/13 – Aged 8 or younger
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (3 winners)
8/13 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
7/13 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
6/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/13 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – French bred
4/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Returned a double-figure price
3/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/13 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman & Kauto Star)
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable

Note: 2009 running was staged at Kempton

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3.00 – Betfair Exchange Chase (Registered as The Game Spirit Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m92y ITV

12/12 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Placed favourites
11/12 – Aged 8 or younger
11/12 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (2 winners)
10/12 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
9/12 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
9/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
6/12 – French bred
6/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Had raced at Newbury (fences) before (4 winners)
6/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
1/12 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase


3.35 – Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

14/14 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
13/14 – Aged 7 or younger
12/14 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
11/14 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Rated 130 or higher
12/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/14 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
10/14 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old (including 6 of last 9)
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/14 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/14  - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/14 - Owned by JP McManus
1/14 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
19 of the last 20 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 14.5/1


WARWICK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.05 - olbg.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV

Just three previous running
Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
2 of the last 3 runnings went to the favourite
2 of the last 3 winners carried 11-5
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 24% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 23% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Cowley has a 33% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track

2.40 – 7bets4free.com Kingmaker Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 7 or younger
7/7 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
6/7 – Won over 2m fences before
5/7 – Had won no more than twice (fences) in the UK
5/7 – Rated between 137-147
5/7 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Aged 5 or 7 years-old
4/7 – Won last time out
3/7 – Unplaced favs
3/7 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
2009 renewal was at Sandown

 

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