Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 11th June 2016

More LIVE C4 action This Saturday as the cameras head to Sandown, York and Musselburgh and as always Andy Newton’s got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields - hopefully these will point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

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Sandown Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.10 – betstars.uk For Horse Racing Handicap Cl3 1m1f CH4

11/14 – Had won just once before
10/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
9/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/14 – Rated between 80-87
9/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Had raced at the track before
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 11/1

 

2.45 – BetStars By Pokerstars Handicap Cl2 1m14y CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
3/4 – Aged 4 or younger
3/4 – Winners carried 9-5 or more
3/4 – Rated between 90-94
3/4 – Winners between stalls 6-9 (inc)
3/4 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
2/4 – Won last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Mark Johnston won the race in 2012
Trainer Amanda Perrett has a 20% record with her older horses at the track
Andrea Atzeni is just 1 from 32 riding older horses at the track

 

3.20 – betstars.uk Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y CH4

11/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
9/11 – Had won over 5f before
9/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
7/11 – Had won at least 3 times before
6/11 – Came from stall 7 or higher
6/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/11 – Winning favourites
6/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
5/11 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
2/11 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 4/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup (Lady Amateur Riders) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f CH4

12/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Carried 9-11 or more
11/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
11/13 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
10/13 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
10/13 – Rated between 80-89
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top four
9/13 – Had run at York before
9/13 – Won from a single-figure stall
8/13 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
8/13 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
2/13 – Won by trainer Luca Cumani
2/13 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
0/13 – Placed horses from stall 2
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9.4/1
Trainer Brian Ellison won the race 12 months ago

 

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2.25 – betstars.uk Home of Spin & Bet Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

1 previous running
Trainer William Haggas has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 2 from 55 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 25 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 13 from 271 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley is only 1 from 41 when riding older horses at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 1 from 52 when riding older horses at the track
Jockey David Nolan is only 1 from 38 when riding older horses at the track

 

3.00 – Best Western Hotels Ganton Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Aged 5 or younger
4/4 – Irish bred
3/4 – Placed favourites
3/4 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
3/4 – Had won a Listed (or better) race before
3/4 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
2/4 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/4 – Winning favourites
Top Notch Tonto won the race in 2015
Andrew Balding won the race in 2012
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - 888Sport Charity Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

11/11 – Rated between 87-97
9/11 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
9/11 – Had won over 6f before
8/11 – Unplaced favourites
7/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Won by David Nicholls
2/11 – Won by Tim Easterby (inc 2 of the last 3 runnings)
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

3.10 - William Hill Scottish Tartan Trophy (A Consolation For Scottish Sprint Cup) (Handicap) Cl3 5f CH4

Only 2 previous runnings
Pearl Acclaim won the race 12 months ago
The last 2 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
Both recent winners carried 9-5 or more
Both winners came from double-figure stalls
Trainer Dandy Nicholls won the race in 2015
Trainer David Baron won the race in 2014
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 30% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer David Nicholls is just 3 from 68 with his older horses at the track

 

3.45 – William Hill Scottish Sprint Cup (A Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f CH4

11/12 – Won over 5f before
10/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 -  Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
9/12 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/12 – Had won between 2-5 times before
8/12 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/12 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1
Red Baron won the race in 2015

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Entertaining Ben - The saddle slipped at Brighton last time which was frustrating as he was in great form.  He is still working well at home and I am hoping he can go close today - looks a fair e/w price at around 20/1."
William Muir 07/06/16 1st 25/1

 

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2 replies
  1. Iain says:

    Hi Matt, Just for fun I thought I would try the TV trends for the 1.50 at York but only went down the criteria as far as 9/13. I wrote down the numbers of the runners and crossed them off if they didn’t meet the criteria and was left with numbers 6,7 and 8 as the best chance for a win. I had a small wager e.w. on the 3 of them and you know what happened…………they filled the first 3 spots…….no I didn’t do the tricast!!

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Excellent work, Iain. Well, the trifecta only paid £3,057.10.

      Aaaaargh!

      Matt

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