Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 11th Nov 2017

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap – as always we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – Betfred Mobile Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/14 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Won from stall 12 or lower
11/14 – Rated 99 or higher
10/14 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
8/14 – Had won at Doncaster before
7/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/14 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

2.40 - Betfred TV EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Gillies Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f60y ITV4

12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Had won at least twice before
10/13 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
10/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/13 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/13 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/13 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

3.15 - Betfred November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

11/14 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
11/14 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
11/14 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/14 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
11/14 – Favourites that were unplaced
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/14 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
2/14 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 5 times in all)
1/14 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Z Hotels Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
8/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
7/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
7/10 – Rated between 119-129
7/10 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
5/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – John Romans Park Homes ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won no more than twice over fences
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish (4) or French (4) bred
8/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
6/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
12/13 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Rated 150 or lower
8/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/13 – Having first run of the season
5/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/13 – Carried 10-6 or less
5/13 – Won with 11-10 in weight
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by John Quinn
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

3.35 - Badger Ales Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/14 – Won at least two chase races previously
12/14 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
11/14 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
11/14 –  Raced at the course previously (4 won over fences)
11/14 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
11/14  – Placed in the top four in their last race
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Raced already that season
8/14 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/14 – Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/14 – Priced at double-figures
6/14 – Won their latest race
5/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
4/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 3 of the last 7 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

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