Sat TV Trends: 12th Oct 2013

Aaim-To-Prosper-wins-Cesarewitch_2515748

Aaim To Prosper Winning in 2012

Excellent cards at Newmarket and York this week and as usual Andy Newton’s got all the key TV Trends for the LIVE C4 races.....

Newmarket (RUK/C4)

2.05 - Dubai Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

11/11 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (7) race previously
11/11 – Won over 7f previously
11/11 – Won by  a horse aged 5 or younger
10/11 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/11 – Officially rated 113 or higher
9/11 -  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
9/11 – Won 3 or more times previously
9/11 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
7/11 – Priced 7/1 or lower
6/11 – Placed in their last race
6/11 – Favourites placed
5/11 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
4/11 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Goodwood (2) last time out
3/11 – Favourites that won
2/11 – Won their previous race
2/11 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
1/11 – Filly/Mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

2.35 - Vision.ae Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Won over 6f previously
10/11 – Winning distance - 2 lengths or less
10/11 – Won their last race
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Had run 3 or more times previously
9/11 – Won at least twice previously
9/11 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
8/11 –
Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
8/11 –
Foaled in either Feb or March
6/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Ran at Deauville last time out
3/11 – Won by an Irish-based stable
3/11 –
Favourites that won
2/11 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/11 – Winners that came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004 & 2011

 

3.10 - Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 7f CH4

10/11 – Raced at least 3 times that season
10/11 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
10/11 – Placed in their last race
8/11 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
8/11 – Won over 7f previously
8/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (3) last time out
7/11 – Won at least 3 times previously
7/11 – Won their last race
7/11 – Won a Group race previously
6/11 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/11 – Won by an Irish-based stable
5/11 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/11 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/11 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/11 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
4/11 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
4/11 – Favourites that won
2/11 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/11 – Winners that came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

3.50 - Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4

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11/11 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
10/11 – Aged 4 or older
9/11 – Had run within the last 2 months
9/11 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
9/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/11 – Finished 4th or better last time out
8/11 – Aged 5 or older
8/11 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
7/11 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
6/11 – The first three home returned a double-figure price
6/11 – Had run at the track before
5/11 – Won by a NH trainer
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Winning mares
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 22/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York (RUK/C4)

1.50 - Coral Mobile Three Clicks To Bet Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m208y CH4

Only 2 previous runnings
Richard Fahey and Mark Johnston have won the race
2/2 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
2/2 – Carried 9-3 or more
0/2 – Winning favourites

2.20 – Coral App Download From The App Store Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

No Previous Runnings

 

2.55 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

10/10 – Had raced within the last month
9/10 – Foaled in March or later
9/10 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
8/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
8/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Had 4 or more runs that season
7/10 – Had never raced at York before
6/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Ran at either Redcar (3) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/10 – Winners from stall 2
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Filly winners
2/10 – Placed horses (both 2nd) from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 5/1

3.30 - Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

10/10 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
10/10 – Ran within the last month
10/10 – Had won at least 3 races before
9/10 – Had run at York before
9/10 – Had won a race over 6 before
8/10 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
7/10 – Rated between 92 and 98
7/10 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
6/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/10 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10.8/1

 

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