Sat TV Trends: 13th April 2013

KemptonNot the biggest Saturday in the calendar, but there are still seven LIVE C4 races to get stuck into - Andy Newton's on hand with all the key trends & stats......

 

KEMPTON (RUK/C4)

2.05 – Betfred Mobile Lotto Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

No previous runnings
Amanda Perrett has a 28% record with her older horses here
John Hills is just 1 from 35 (3%) with his older horses at the track
Ron Harris has a +£87 level stakes profit with his 4+year-olds at the course
Silvestre De Sousa has a 20% record riding older horses here (+£38)
Martin Harley is only 5 from 79 (6%) when riding older horses at the course

2.40 – Betfred Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s Conditions Stakes Cl2 1m CH4

1 previous running
Richard Hannon has a +£65 level stakes profit with his 3 year-old here
Charles Hills has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the course
Roger Varian is 0-from-25 with his 3 year-olds here
Richard Hughes has an 18% strike-rate when riding 3 year-olds here

3.15 – Betfred Mobile Sports Snowdrop Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

8/9 – Had won between 2-4 times before
8/9 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
7/9 – Rated between 90-102
7/9 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/9 – Came from the top three in the betting
7/9 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/9 – Had won over at least 1m before
7/9 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 - Rated 96 or lower
5/9 – Unplaced in their last race
5/9 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
4/9 – Placed favourites
3/9 – Had run at Kempton before
3/9 – Winning favourites
1/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2

3.50 – Betfred Goals Galore Handicap (London Mile Qualifier) Cl2 1m CH4

7/7 – Carried 8-12 or more
7/7 – Ran at either Kempton or Lingfield last time out
6/7 – Had raced at Kempton before (3 won)
6/7 – Won over a mile before
6/7 – Carried 9-0 or more
6/7 – Winning distance 1 ¾l or less
6/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/7 – Priced 13/2 or bigger
4/7 – Had won 4 or more times before
4/7 – Drawn in stall 4 or less
4/7 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
2/7 – Winning favourites
1/7 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 years is 13/2

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DONCASTER (ATR/C4)

2.20 – bet365 Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

1 previous running
Dandy Nicholls is just 5 from 112 (4%) with his older horses here
Mark Johnston is only 3 from 54 (6%) with his older horses at the track
Jamie Spencer is just 3 from 60 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds here
Adrian Nicholls is only 2 from 44 (5%) when riding older horses here
Adam Kirby has a 21% (6 from 29) record when riding older horses at Doncaster

2.55 – bet365.com Handicap Cl3 1m4f CH4

No previous runnings
Luca Cumani has a 21% record with his older horses here
Dandy Nicholls is just 5 from 112 (4%) with his older horses here
Tom Tate is 0 from 31 with his older horses here
Michael Dods is just 2 from 89 (2%) with his older horses here
Mark Johnston is only 3 from 54 (6%) with his older horses at the track
Jamie Spencer is just 3 from 60 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds here
Joe Fanning is only 3 from 49 (6%) when riding older horses at the course
Adrian Nicholls is only 2 from 44 (5%) when riding older horses here
Adam Kirby has a 21% (6 from 29) record when riding older horses at Doncaster
Tom Eaves is only 2 from 76 (3%) when riding older horses at the track

3.30 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Won over 6f before
6/8 – Had run at Doncaster before
6/8 – Had raced 3 or more times before
6/8 – Winning Distance 1 3/4l or less
6/8 – Having their first run of the season
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Drawn in stall 4 or less
5/8 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Rated 88 or lower
5/8 – Carried 9-0 or less
5/8 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 23/1

 

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