Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 13th July 2019

It’s the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday and the ITV cameras are there to take in the best of the action, plus they are also at York and Ascot on what is a bumper Saturday of flat horse racing.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 13th July 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.20 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/17 – Had won over 7f or further previously
13/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/17 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/17 – Unplaced in their last race
10/17 – Favourites unplaced
9/17 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
3/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Winning Favourites
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1


2.55 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Won over at least 6f previously
15/17 – Placed in their last race
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/17 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/17 – Won their latest race
11/17 – Won by either a March or April foal
9/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
7/17 – Favourites unplaced
4/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/17 – Winners from stall 3
4/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/17 – Winning Favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.30 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

16/17 – Won over 7f previously
16/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/17 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/17 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
10/17 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
9/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
8/17 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/17 – Placed in their last race
4/17 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
Burnt Sugar won the race in 2018
Above The Rest won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

4.40 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011  Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010  Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009  Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008  Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007  Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006  Les Arcs (10/1)
2005  Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004  Frizzante (14/1)
2003  Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002  Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

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16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
14/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
13/17 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/17 – Placed last time out
9/17 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Irish-trained winners
2/17 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/17 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 4 times before (1999, 2001, 2010 & 2018)

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over 5f before
8/8 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/8 – Rated between 101 and 111
7/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Had only won at Handicap class before
5/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/8 – Won by a neck or less
5/8 – Won at York before
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Ridden by David Allen
Mr Lupton won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 13/2

2.40 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV

13/13 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Won from stall 10 or lower
10/13 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Had run at York before
5/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
3/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Dylan Mouth won the race in 2018

3.15 - John Smith´s Racing Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Rated 90 or less
10/15 – Placed last time out
9/15 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
8/15 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Won by a USA-bred horse
4/15 – Had raced at York before
4/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer David O'Meara has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2 or 3
Wadilsafa won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.50 – John Smith´s Jubilee Cup Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2018 – Euchen Glen (20/1) Jim Goldie
2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute
2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

16/17 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
13/17 – Came from stall 9 or higher
13/17 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
11/17 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/17 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 99-105
8/17 – Had run at York before
5/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/17 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

Just 6 previous running
5/6 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
5/6 – Carried 8-10 or more
5/6 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
Danzeno won the race in 2017
Spring Loaded won the race in 2018

4.00 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

12/12 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
10/12 – Had won over at least a mile before
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
7/12 – Previous Group race winner
7/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/12 – Aged 4 years-old
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/12 – Had won a Group 1 before
9 of the last 10 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Beat The Bank won the race in 2018
Mutakayyef  won the race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

 

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