Sat TV Trends: 14th Dec 2013

Cheltenham New

It's a Big Day At Cheltenham On Saturday....

A huge day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues, plus the C4 cameras head to Doncaster for a couple too - Andy Newton's on hand with all the big-race trends and stats.....

 

Cheltenham (C4/RUK)

1.50 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

9/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/9 – Placed favourites
8/9 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
8/9 – Aged 6 or younger
8/9 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
8/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
6/9 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
6/9 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
6/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/9 – Won last time out
6/9 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Had won at Cheltenham before
2/9 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 3.17/1

2.25 – Stewart Family Thank You Gold Cup (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f CH4

11/11 – Aged 8 or younger
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times over fences previously
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race.
9/11 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
9/11 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Raced at Cheltenham (fences) previously (4 won)
8/11 – Won by a French bred horse
8/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
8/11 – Favourites unplaced
8/11 – Officially rated 142 or higher
8/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
6/11 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
4/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/11 – Raced in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/11 – Placed in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
3/11 – Won their last race
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
1/11 – Favourites (last winning fav 1996)
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 9.2/1

3.00 – StanJames.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f CH4

11/11 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/11 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
11/11 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/11 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
9/11 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
9/11 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
9/11 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (4 placed)
8/11 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
8/11 -  Favourites placed
8/11 – Won their latest race
8/11 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
7/11 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
6/11 – Rated 162 or higher
5/11 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle last time out
5/11 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
4/11 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/11 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/11 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/11 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
1/11 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
The last horse to win this race back-to-back was Relkeel (1997,98,99)

3.35 - Osborne House Relkeel Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

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10/10 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Raced at Cheltenham before
8/10 – Ran at either Ascot (4), Cheltenham (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
7/10 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before in the UK
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 won)
7/10 – Ridden by either AP McCoy (2), Barry Geraghty (3) or Robert Thornton (2)
6/10 – Had won at Cheltenham before
6/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/10 – Won by a French-bred
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
3/10 – Trained by Alan King
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 3/1

 

Doncaster (C4/ATR)

2.05 – BetVictor Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y CH4

Two previous runnings
2/2 – Trained by John Quinn
2/2 – Ridden by Dougie Costello
2/2 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
2/2 – Had raced within the last month
2/2 – Carried 11-2
0/2 – Winning favourites
John Ferguson has a 43% record with his hurdlers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track

3.15 - BetVictor Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 7 or younger
4/4 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
3/4 – Aged 7 years-old
3/4 – Had run over fences at Doncaster before
3/4 – Rated between 121 and 126
3/4 – Irish bred
3/4 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Carried 10-10 or less in weight
2/4 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
2/4 – Ridden by Dougie Costello
1/4 – Won last time out
0/4 – Winning favourites
Paul Nicholls has a 38% record with this chasers at the track
Emma Lavelle has a 56% record with her chasers at the track
Malcolm Jefferson is 0 from 18 with his chasers at the track

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

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