Sat TV Trends: 14th Feb 2015

The C4 cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton this Saturday – like all big race days we’ve got all the trends & stats to help you whittle down the fields.

 

ASCOT (ATR/C4)

2.05 - racinguk.com Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (£18K Field Size Bonus) Grade 2 Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/12 – Returnd 17/2 or shorter in the market
11/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Won their last race
10/12 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/12 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
6/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
6/12 – Went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 27% record with his chasers here

2.40 - Weatherbys Hamilton Chase Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – 1 or 2 chase wins
4/4 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
3/4 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) previously
3/4 – Winning distance head or shorter
3/4 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/4 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
3/4 – Aged in double-figures
2/4 – Won last time out
2/4 – Irish bred
1/4 – Favourites
Vino Griego won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 11/2

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers here
Emma Lavelle is just 1 from 17 with her chasers here
Paddy Brennan is just 1 from 17 riding chasers here

3.15 - Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f110y CH4

9/9 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
7/9 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
6/9 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or less
6/9 – Went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/9 – Won over 2m4f or further previously
5/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/9 – Returned 9/1 or bigger
5/9 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
4/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/9 – Raced at Ascot over hurdles previously
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Favourites
2/9 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/9 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his hurdlers here
Don McCain has a 27% record with his hurdlers here
Tom Cannon is 0 from 20 riding hurdlers here

3.50 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y CH4

12/12 – Won over at least 2 ½ (fences) before
11/12 – Returned at 15/2 or shorter in the market
10/12 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
10/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
10/12 – Winners that failed to win their next start
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
8/12 – Favourites
8/12 – Officially rated 158 or higher
7/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences before
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Ran at Kempton (King George) last time out
4/12 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
4/12 – Won over fences at Ascot before
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Won last time out
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers here
Paul Nicholls has a 27% record with his chasers here
Alan King is just 2 from 23 with his chasers here


HAYDOCK (RUK/C4)


2.20 - Betfred "Still Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Hurdle (Registered As The Rendlesham Hurdle) Grade 2 Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
9/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
9/12 – Rated 145 or higher
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Aged 8 or younger
8/12 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
7/12 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
7/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
5/12 – French-bred
4/12 – Favourites
4/12 – Had raced at Haydock previously
2/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/12 – Favourites
1/12 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Restless Harry won the race in 2012
Cross Kennon won the race in 2011
Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Don McCain has a 24% record with his hurdlers here
Emma Lavelle has a 27% record with her hurdles here
Brian Hughes is just 2 from 37 riding over hurdles here

2.55 - Betfred Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f CH4

12/12 – UK trained winners
12/12 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
11/12 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/12 – Aged 10 or younger
10/12 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Aged 9 or younger
9/12 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
9/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/12 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/12 – Rated 135 or higher
6/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Irish-bred winners
4/12 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/12 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/12 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
2/12 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/12 – Winning favourites
Seeyouatmidnight won this in 2014
Across the Bay won this in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 10.4/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 32% record with his chasers here
Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 39 with his chasers here
James Reveley is just 2 from 22 riding over fences here

WINCANTON (RUK/C4)

3.35 - Bathwick Tyres Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

11/11 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
10/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/11 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles before
10/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
10/11 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
9/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/11 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Rated 155 or higher
7/11 – Favourites
7/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
1/11 – Went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
The average winning SP in the last is 11/4

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 32% record with his hurdlers here
Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his hurdlers here
Mark Gillard is just 2 from 44 with his hurdlers here

 

 

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Trainers Quotes

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Some Recent Quotes..................

"Katie Gale: Poor first run back last week but despite that we are expecting a lot more now she's back up in trip and seems to have come on for that outing. They went a bit quick for her last time too. Has won here over 2m in the past and with that recent run under her belt then we should see a different horse here."
Mick Appleby

10/02/15 1st 7/2

"SUDDEN WISH has been off for a while and could just need this today on her first run back. Whatever SUDDEN WISH does today I expect to see some improvement from this run today"
Gary Moore

09/02/15 3rd 14/1

"Laughton Park: Up 12lbs for his last win which I thought was a bit harsh. Returning from a ten month absence and can be a bit of a stuffy/lazy horse at home. Not the strongest race for the grade but he will come on for the run. Might sneak into a place."
Suzy Smith

09/02/15 1st 13/2

"Dewala: Off the mark last time over hurdles at Doncaster - has come out of that race well and the tight track here will help her running style. AP booked to ride a big plus too and should go close to defying the 8lb rise."
Mick Appleby

09/02/15 1st 2/1

"TRAFFIC FLUIDE is a keen type so this drop back in trip on better going conditions just could make a difference today. This race could see all four horses finish very close as I have respect for all the runners"
Gary Moore

09/02/15 1st 11/8

"Street Force: Decent horse for Clive Brittain - only third run for us and better last time out. Handles the track and expected to be in the mix as getting better by the race, but on these terms might have it all to do to beat the Kevin Ryan horse."
Mick Appleby

08/02/15 1st 5/2

"Electric Qatar: Third last time out here - but race with 8 CD winners in so a lot of chances. We are one of those previous winners and we were really pleased with his recent run (not beaten far). Same mark and same conditions give him a great chance of being in the mix again and three non-runners a plus too."
Mick Appleby

08/02/15 1st 5/2

"Good race but VIOLET DANCER has been a solid performer all season. I have no going concerns and he  is working well at home"
Gary Moore

07/02/15 1st 20/1



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