Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 14th July 2018

It’s the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday and the ITV cameras are there to take in the best of the action, plus they are also at York and Ascot on what is a bumper Saturday of flat horse racing.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 14th July 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.05 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Won over at least 6f previously
14/16 – Placed in their last race
13/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/16 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
11/16 – Won their latest race
11/16 – Won by either a March or April foal
8/16 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
6/16 – Favourites unplaced
4/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/16 – Winners from stall 3
4/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
5/16 – Winning Favourites
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
Gustav Klimt (5/6) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

1.40 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

15/16 – Won over 7f previously
15/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/16 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/16 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
8/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
8/16 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/16 – Placed in their last race
4/16 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Above The Rest (12) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1
Heaven’s Guest won the race in 2014 & was second in 2016

 

2.15 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011     Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010    Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009   Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008   Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007   Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006   Les Arcs (10/1)
2005   Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004   Frizzante (14/1)
2003   Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002   Continent (12/1)

16 Year July Cup Betting Trends

15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
13/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
13/16 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
12/16 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Won their previous race
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
1/16 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (1999, 2001 & 2010)

 

3.20 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

14/16 – Had won over 7f or further previously
13/16 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
12/16 – Had 2 or more runs that season
9/16 – Unplaced in their last race
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
7/16 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
3/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Winning Favourites
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
Medahim (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 10/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

1.55 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Won over 5f before
7/7 – Placed favourites
7/7 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
7/7 – Rated between 101 and 111
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Had only won at Handicap class before
4/7 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/7 – Won by a neck
4/7 – Won at York before
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Phillip Makin
Take Cover (5/1) won the race in 2017
Out Do won the race in 2015

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2.35 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV3

12/12 – Aged 5 or younger
12/12 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
11/12 – Won from stall 10 or lower
9/12 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Had run at York before
5/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/12 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
4/12 – Luca Cumani-trained horses that finished in the top three
3/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Rare Rhythm (9/4) won the race in 2017

 

3.10 - John Smith´s Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV3

14/14 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
13/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/14 – Rated 90 or less
10/14 – Placed last time out
8/14 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
9/14 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
8/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Won by a USA-bred horse
4/14 – Had raced at York before
3/14 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 12 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2 or 3
Chiefofchiefs (8/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.40 – 59th John Smith´s Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV3

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute
2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
15/16 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
13/16 – Came from stall 9 or higher
12/16 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
11/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Carried 9-3 or less
10/16 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Officially rated between 99-105
7/16 – Had run at York before
5/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/16 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Since 1970 just one winner older than 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

12.45 – Bet With Ascot Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

Just 4 previous running
4/5 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
4/5 – Carried 8-10 or more
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
Danzeno (8/1 co-fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.20 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

11/11 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
9/11 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
9/11 – Had won over at least a mile before
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Previous Group race winner
6/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
6/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Aged 4 years-old
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/11 – Had won a Group 1 before
Mutakayyef (7/2 fav) won the race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

 

 

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