Sat TV Trends: 14th Nov 2015

The C4 cameras head to Cheltenham this Saturday, with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature at 2.25, plus they also take in two races at Wetherby. We've got all the big-race trends to help you narrow down the fields.

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Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

12.40 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y

10/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Yet to race at Cheltenham
9/10 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles
8/10 – Priced 4/1 or shorter
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Went onto race in that season Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
7/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/10 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/10 – Won their last race
5/10 – Favourites
4/10 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – German bred
3/10 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/10 – Trained by Alan King
2/10 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
1/10 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Katchit 2006)

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y

10/10 – Had won a race over at least 2m4 before
9/10 – Aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Raced no more than twice over fences
8/10 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
8/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
8/10 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/10 – Aged 6 years-old
6/10 – Raced at Cheltenham (2), Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) before
6/10 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase (no winners)
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 - Favourites
3/10 – Trained by David Pipe
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan

1.50 - Murphy Group Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y CH4

13/13 – Won a 3m+ race over fences before
12/13 – Ran at Cheltenham before
11/13 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 8 or younger
9/13  – Won between 3 and 5 times over fences
9/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/13 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Raced within the last month
7/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Won over fences at Cheltenham before
6/13  – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/13 – French bred
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Favourites (1 co)
2/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

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2.25 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y

13/13 – Ran at Cheltenham before
12/13 – Won over at least 2m4f over fences before
12/13 – Won by a UK-based trainer
10/13 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/13 – Won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
9/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Won at Cheltenham before
9/13 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/13 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
7/13 – Aged 7 years-old
7/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Raced at Carlisle last time out
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 7 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 26 runners
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 9.5/1

3.00 - Regulatory Finance Solutions Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y CH4

12/13 – Aged 7 or younger
11/13 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
11/13 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
10/13 – Favourites placed
10/13 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
10/13 – Officially rated 126 to 137
9/13 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) before
9/13 – Irish bred
9/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/13  – Raced at either Cheltenham (3), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (2) last time out
7/13 – Raced within the last month
6/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Raced at Cheltenham before
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Priced 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/13 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

3.35 - Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y CH4

9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
8/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price
6/10 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
6/10 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
5/10 – Raced at Cheltenham before
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Irish bred winners
3/10 – French bred winners
2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/10 - Favourites
2 of the last 3 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 7 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 - totescoop6 Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f85y CH4

No previous runnings
Venetia Williams has a 29% record with her chasers at the track

3.15 - totepoolliveinfo.com Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier for the Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final) Cl3 2m CH4

1 previous running
The John Quinn yard won the race 12 months ago
John Quinn has a 20% record with this hurdlers at the track
Craig Gallagher is 3 from 9 riding over hurdles at the track

 

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