Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 14th Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 14th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Won no more than twice before
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
5/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/10 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.25 – Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

12/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/12 – Had raced at least twice before
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/12 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/12 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-5


3.00 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Raced at least 3 times that season
14/15 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
13/15 – Placed in their last race
12/15 – Won over 7f previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (6) last time out
10/15 – Won at least 3 times previously
10/15 – Won their last race
10/15 – Won a Group race previously
9/15 – Won by an Irish-based stable
8/15 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
7/15 – Favourites that won
6/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/15 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/15 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/15 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/15 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/15 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/15 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 9 of the last 11 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.40 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

14/15 – Aged 4 or older
12/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
12/15 – Had run within the last 2 months
12/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/15 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 or older
9/15 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/15 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/15 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/15 – Had run at the track before
7/15 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Won by a NH trainer
4/15 – Winning mares
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 24/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just four previous running
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2015
Trained Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
No winning favourite yet
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 3 years-old
All 4 previous winners returned 9/1 or shorter
Adam Kirby has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners of the race
Trainer John Gosden has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 4 from 111 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Quinn is just 2 from 60 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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2.40 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14– Had raced within the last month
13/14 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
12/14 – Foaled in March or later
12/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/14 – Had never raced at York before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Unplaced last time out
6/14 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Winners from stall 2
3/14 – Filly winners
3/14 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Ridden by David Allen
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had won at least 3 races before
13/14 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
13/14 – Had run at York before
13/14 – Had won a race over 6f before
10/14 – Aged 5 or younger
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 


 

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

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