Sat TV Trends: 15th August 2015

All the trends and stats covered for this Saturday's LIVE Channel 4 races from Newmarket, Newbury and Ripon...................

Find those TV winners!

NEWMARKET (C4/RUK)

1.40 – Betway Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

4 previous renewals
4/4 – Priced 7/1 or bigger in the betting
3/4 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
2/4 – Ridden by Luke Morris
0/4 – Winning favourites
Charlie Appleby has a 21% record at the track with his 2 year-olds
Sir Mark Prescott has a 25% record with this 2 year-olds here

2.15 – Betway Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f CH4

11/12 – Aged 5 or older
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
10/12 – Had 3 or more career wins
10/12 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
10/12 – Won over 6f previously
9/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/12 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
8/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Favourites unplaced
3/12 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
Crew Cut win the race in 2013
Time Medicean won the race in 2011

2.50 – Betway Price Blitz Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Only had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
11/13 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
10/13 – Won over 6f previously
10/13 – Came from stall 10 or lower
9/13 – Winning distance ½ length or less
9/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
9/13 – Officially Rated 82 to 88 inc
8/13 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
6/13 – Raced at the track before (4 won)
6/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Winners won by a neck
4/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Trained by David Barron
2/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (last 2 runnings)
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1

NEWBURY (C4/RUK)

2.00 – Denford Stud Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Placed in the first three last time out
10/13 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/13 – Won a race before
10/13 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (3) foal
9/13 – Won over 6 or 7f before
8/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Horses from stall 3 placed
7/13 – Favourites (2 joint)
6/13 – Won their last race
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/13 – Raced at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
3/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won on their racecourse debut
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.35 – Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y CH4

13/13 – Won at least twice in their career
11/13 – Won over 1m4f or further previoulsy
10/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Officially rated 111 or higher
9/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Aged 3-5 years-old
9/13 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/13 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
8/13 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
8/13 – Raced at Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Favourites
7/13 – Already won a Group race
6/13 – Won at Newbury previously
3/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/13 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 3.10 – Betfred "Supports Jack Berry House" Ladies Day Handicap Cl3 7f CH4

12/13 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/13 – Won at least twice during their career
10/13 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Previous winners over 7f
9/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
8/13 – Rated between 95 and 103
8/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
7/13 – Drawn in stalls 12, 13, 14 or 15
6/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/13 – Raced at Newbury previously
3/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Won by the Hills yard
2/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

3.45 – Betfred Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (7) race before
12/13 – Didn’t their last race
11/13 – 3 or more previous runs already that season
11/13 – Won over this 7f trip previously
11/13 – Won 3 or more times already in their career
10/13 – Officially rated 110 or more
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Winning distance was 1 length or more
7/13 – Raced at Newbury before (3 won)
6/13 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/13 – Trained by Clive Cox
Breton Rock won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

RIPON (C4/ATR)

3.30 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

11/13 – Won over 6f before
11/13 – Filed to win last time out
9/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/13 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/13 – Priced at double-figure odds in the betting
8/13 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/13  - Raced at Ripon before (3 won)
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
6/13 – Raced at either Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/13 – Aged 4 years-old
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by David Nicholls
0/13 – Aged 3 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 12/1
- 4 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 9-11
- Only 4 winning favourites since 1990
-  Since 1986 ALL winners have returned 20/1 or shorter

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

Your first 30 days for just £1