Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 16th June 2018

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Sandown, Chester and York.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Saturday 16th June 2018

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 – Randox Health Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

13/13 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
11/13 – Had won over 5f before
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
8/13 – Had won at least 3 times before
8/13 – Came from stall 7 or higher
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/13 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/13 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/13 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
Trainer Stuart Kittow has 40% strike-rate (2 from 5) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon has just 2 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Adam Kirby is just 3 from 47 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.15 – Randox Health Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

6 previous runnings
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had won between 2-4 times before
5/6 – Had won over 1m before
5/6 – Rated between 90-94
5/6 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
4/6 – Aged 4 years-old
4/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
4/6 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/6 – Had run at the course before
4/6 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup (Lady Amateur Riders) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Carried 9-11 or more
13/15 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
12/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
12/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
11/15 – Rated between 80-89
11/15 – Won from a single-figure stall
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top four
10/15 – Had run at York before
9/15 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/15 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by trainer Luca Cumani
2/15 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
1/15 – Placed horses from stall 2
Tapis Libre (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

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2.25 – JCB Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 4 years-old
3/3 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
3/3 – Rated between 90-99
3/3 – Unplaced favourites
3/3 – Had raced at York before
3/3 – Came from a single-figure stall
2/3 – Won over 7f before
2/3 – Came from stall 9
0/3 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 11/1
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Charles Hills has a 22% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Jedd O’Keeffe has a 21% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 96 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 2 from 48 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 12 from 243 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 9 from 176 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 4 from 138 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Georgina Cox is 3 from 4 riding older horses at the track

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

9/10 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/10 – Had raced in the last 2 months
9/10 – Officially rated 103 or higher
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
7/10 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at the track before
2/10 – Trained by Peter Niven
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
Clever Cookie won the race in 2014 & 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat

 

3.35 –Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

11/13 – Rated between 87-97
11/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Unplaced favourites
10/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Won by Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 5 runnings)
2/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1
7 of the last 10 winners came from a single-figure draw
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 4 from 12 (33%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is 2 from 9 (22%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Andrea Atzeni is 7 from 33 (21%) riding 3 year-olds at the track
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 46 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 – City of London Handicap (Cl2) (3yo 0-100) 1m4f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

 

 

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