Sat TV Trends: 17th Aug 2013

St Wilfrid

A Huge Day At Ripon This Saturday........

Andy Newton’s got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE C4 action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday...

 

NEWMARKET (C4/RUK)

1.50 - Lanwades Stud Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

2 previous renewals
2/2 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
0/2 – Winning favourites

 

2.20 - 32Red.com Supports Racing Welfare Grey Horse Handicap (For Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f CH4

10/10 – Aged 5 or older
9/10 – Failed to win last time out
9/10 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
8/10 – Had 3 or more career wins
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had run at Newmarket (July) before
3/10 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10.7/1
Medici Time won this race in 2012

 

2.55 – 32Red Supports Racing Welfare Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

10/11 – Failed to win last time out
9/11 – Only had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
9/11 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won over 6f before
8/11 – Rated 82 to 88 inc
8/11 – Came from stall 10 or lower
8/11 – Carried 8-13 or less
7/11 – Winning distance ½ length or less
6/11 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
4/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/11 – Winners won by a neck
3/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/11 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/11 – Trained by David Barron
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

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NEWBURY (C4/RUK)

2.05 - Denford Stud Stakes (Registered As The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

10/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Finished in the first three last time out
9/11 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (2) foal
8/11 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
8/11 – Had won a race before
8/11 – Horses from stall 3 placed
7/11 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
6/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
3/11 – Trained by John Gosden
3/11 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston
1/11 – Won on their racecourse debut
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

2.40 - Betfred TV Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y CH4

11/11 – Had won at least twice in their career
10/11 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
9/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Aged 3-5 years-old
8/11 – Ran at Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/11 – Officially rated 112 or higher
8/11 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
8/11 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Winning favourites
7/11 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
6/11 – Had already won a Group race
5/11 – Had won at Newbury before
3/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

3.15 - Betfred Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

10/11 – Had won a Listed (4) or Group (6) race before
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
9/11 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
9/11 – Had won over this 7f trip before
8/11 – Officially rated 110 or more
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/11 – Winning distance was 1 length or more
6/11 – Had run at Newbury before (2 won)
5/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 – Trained by Clive Cox
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.50 - Betfred Mobile Sports Ladies Day Handicap Cl3 7f CH4

10/11 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 – Rated between 95 and 103
9/11 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
9/11 – Had won at least twice during their career
8/11 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
8/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Carried 9-1 or more
7/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 12, 13, 14 or 15
7/11 – Previous winners over 7f
7/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
5/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Had run at Newbury before
2/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/11 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.6/1

 

RIPON (C4/ATR)

3.30 - William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

9/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
9/11 – Had won over 6f before
9/11 – Failed to win last time out
8/11 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/11 – Winning distance  - 1 length or less
7/11 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
7/11 – Favourites unplaced
6/11 – Raced at either Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/11  - Raced at Ripon previously (3 won)
5/11 – Won by a horse aged 4 years-old
2/11 - Trained by David O'Meara
2/11 – Trained by David Nicholls
2/11 - Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
1/11 – Favourites that won
0/11 – Aged 3 years-old

- Only 2 winning favourites since 1990
- The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
-  Since 1986 ALL winners have returned 20/1 or less

 

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