Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 17th December 2016

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So to help you narrow down the fields we've all the big-race trends, plus key trainer stats ahead of each race.

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)

 

1.50 – BGC Partners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m1f CH4

7/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/8 – Officially Rated between 130-137
7/8 – Won at least twice over fences previously
7/8 – Won a chase race over 2m1f previously
6/8 – French bred
6/8 – Aged 7 or older
6/8 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/8 – Won their last race
2/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/8 – Favourites

Trainer Stats:
Tom Symonds has a 30% record with his runners at the track
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 21% record with his runners at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is just 3 from 48 with his runners at the track


2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f CH4

14/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
14/14 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (5 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
12/14 – French-bred horse
12/14 – Placed in the top three in their last race
12/14 – Favourites placed
11/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
11/14 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/14 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles previously
10/14 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
9/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
8/14 – Favourites that won
7/14 – Won their last race
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/2

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor

Trainer Stats:
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 3 from 44 with his runners at the track


3.00 – Lavazza Jolie Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

11/11 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/11 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/11 – Won by a French bred horse
7/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/11 – Favourites placed
6/11 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
4/11 – Aged 7 years-old
4/11 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/11 – Priced at double-figure price in the betting
3/11 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/11 – Trained by Henry Daly

The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 11/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

Trainer Stats:

Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is only 3 from 48 with his runners at the track


3.35 – Wessex Youth Trust Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

13/13 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Had raced within the last 2 months
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
9/13 – Carried 10-10 or more
7/13 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
6/13– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 14/1
Jolly’s Cracked and Sternrubin dead-headed in the race 12 months ago

Trainer Stats:
Harry Fry has a 45% record with his hurdlers at the track
Gary Moore is just 1 from 36 with his hurdlers at the track
Philip Hobbs has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 - Abram Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m2f191y CH4

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Aged 5 years-old
4/4 – Officially rated 127-133
3/4 – Won last time out
3/4 – Won between 2-3 times before
3/4 – Irish bred
3/4 – Favourites finished 1st or 2nd
2/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 2/1

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Trainer Stats:
Graeme McPherson has a 25% record with his runners at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his runners at the track

 

2.40 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

9/9 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/9 – Failed to win their last race
8/9 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
6/9 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
6/9 – Favourites placed
6/9 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
5/9 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/9 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
2/9 – French bred
2/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/9 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
1 winning favourite in the last 8 runnings
5 of the last 8 winners carried 11-0 or more
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 7/1

Trainer Stats:

Emma Lavelle has 27% record with her runners at the track
Kerry Lee is 3 from 4 with her chasers at the track
Colin Tizzard has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams is just 1 from 24 with his chasers at the track

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Aventus - Into claiming company here - looks a tough race and we've a bit to find on these terms with some of these. But we are putting the blinkers back on today and the drop back to a mile will help. Might be a tough ask to win with Poetic Force and Bazwind better off at the weights, but top three finish not out of the question. "
Jane Chapple-Hyam

12/12/16 2nd 16/1

"El Campeon - Off with an injury for most of the year but not disgraced on his comeback run when a bit free in a steadily run affair. Needs to settle better in this small field but looked like this track and trip suited him well when he carted up here last year."
Simon Dow

12/12/16 1st 6/1

"Street Outlaw is returning after a short break & is dropping into a seller for the first time. This is only a small field but we are wrong in at the weights with the main two in the betting so it will be tough to beat them.... Having said that these races don't always work on to the handicap marks so we might run into a place!"
Mark Loughnane

12/12/16 2nd 7/1

"Templier - Second runner in the race for us. TEMPLIER has schooled well at home and this hurdle debut could be interesting. Has had plenty of racecourse experience on the flat so he could give a good account of himself today. "
Gary Moore

12/12/16 1st 12/1

 

 

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