Sat TV Trends: 17th March 2012

The last horse to carry 11st or more to win the Midlands Grand National was Gold Cup winner Synchronised....

UTTOXETER (ATR/C4)

2.10 – Betfred "When Both Teams Score" Novices´ Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 4) (4yo+ 0-115) CH4  Good 2m

5 previous runnings
No winning favourite
4 of the 5 were aged 7 or YOUNGER
All 5 carried 11-5 or LESS
3 of the 5 returned a double-figure price
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 15/1
Donald McCain won this in 2008 – BARAATHEN
The last 3 winners finished unplaced last time out
4 of the last 5 had won previously over at least 2miles
2 of the last 5 were previous course winners
2 of the last 5 ran at Ludlow last time out
Charlie Longsdon is 6 from 27 (22%) with his hurdlers at the track – PAMPELONNE
John Quinn is 3 from 9 with his hurdlers at the course – BLUE DESTINATION
John Mackie is only 2 from 53 with his hurdlers here – AEGEAN DESTINY
Barry Leavy is just 1 from 46 with his hurdlers at the course – KING ZEAL
Jockey Kielan Woods is 3 from 5 (60%) when riding over hurdlers here - PAMPELONNE
Denis O’Regan is 0 from 27 when riding over hurdlers here – TROJAN SUN

2.45 – Betfred "The Home Of Goals Galore" Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-135) CH4  Good 2m4f110y

No previous runnings
David Pipe is 20 from 106 (19%) with his hurdlers at the course - SHOEGAZER & QUINTE DU CHATELET
Charlie Longsdon is 6 from 27 (22%) with his hurdlers at the track – CROSS OF HONOUR
Will Kennedy is just 2 from 61 (3%) when riding over hurdles here - BALLYGARVEY

 

3.20 – Betfred Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (5yo+) Winner £37,018 CH4 Good To Soft 4m1f110y

The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
No winner in the last 10 years aged 10 or older
Synchronised in 2010 was the first horse to win with 11st+ since 1999
7 of the last 10 finished in the first three last time out
2 winning favourites in the last 10 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10-9 or LESS
8 of the last 11 had had not fallen or unseated more than once before over fences
7 of the last 11 winners came from the first three in the betting
9 of the last 11 winners had won previously over at least 3m2f
The Irish have won 3 of the last 10 runnings
David Pipe won the race 12 months ago – TAMARINBLEU & MASTER OVERSEER
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2010 – MOHAYER & ARBOR SUPREME
David Pipe is 10 from 47 (21%, +£22) with his chasers at the track - TAMARINBLEU & MASTER OVERSEER
Victor Dartnall is 4 from 13 (31%) with his chasers here – HONOURABLE ARTHUR & CONNAK
Charlie Mann is 6 from 17 (35%) with his chasers at the track – MARINGO BAY
Jeremy Scott is 2 from 5 (40%) with his chasers here – CLASH DUFF
Philip Hobbs is just 2 from 27 with his chasers at the track – ROALCO DE FARGES
Andrew Glassonbury has a 25% record when riding over fences here - HONOURABLE ARTHUR
Liam Treadwell is 3 from 15 (20%) when riding over fences here – HILLS OF ARAN
Noel Fehily is 7 from 37 (19%) when riding over fences at the track – MARINGO BAY

3.55 – Betfred "The Bonus King" Novices´ Handicap Chase (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-135) CH4 Good To Soft 3m

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2 of the last 9 went to the favourite (1 joint)
8 of the last 9 winners were aged 8 or YOUNGER
All 9 recent winners carried 11-4 or LESS
7 of the last 9 returned 7/1 or SHORTER in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
All 9 recent winners finished fourth or better last time out
3 of the last 4 won their previous race
5 of the last 9 had won over at least 3m previously
None of the 9 recent winners were previous course winners
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2003 – MISTER HYDE
Simon Burrough is 2 from 5 (40%) with his chasers here – VICTORIA ROSE
Jack Doyle is 6 from 26 (23%) when riding over fences at the track - CARPINCHO


FFOS LAS (ATR/C4)

2.25 – Read Nicholls And Mccain On Betfair Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-125) CH4 Soft 2m4f

2 previous runnings
Both winners carried 11-6 or MORE
Both winners finished UNPLACED last time out
Previous winners were aged 7 and 8 years-old
Rebecca Curtis is 11 from 55 (20%) with her hurdlers here – SNOW BLIZZARD
Jonjo O’Neill is 9 from 42 (21%) with his hurdlers at the course – STRONGLY SUGGESTED
AP McCoy is 18 from 60 (30%) when riding over hurdles here – STRONGLY SUGGESTED
Sam Thomas is just 1 from 28 (4%) when riding over hurdles here - LAMPS

3.35 – Betfair. Don´t Settle For Less Handicap Chase (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-135) CH4 Soft 3m

2 previous runnings
Both winners returned 4/1 in the betting
Both  winners carried 10-10
Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2010 – JAUNTY JOURNEY & BEAT THE BOYS
Jonjo O’Neil has a 23% record (10 from 44) with his chasers at the track -  TEMPLE LORD
Charlie Mann in 3 from 8 (38%) with his chasers at the course – BENCH WARRENT
Anthony Honeyball is 3 from 3 (100%) with his chasers here – VICTORS SERENADE
AP McCoy is 18 from 49 (37%) when riding over fences here - TEMPLE LORD

 

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