Sat TV Trends: 17th Oct 2015

It’s Qipco Champions Day at Ascot racecourse this Saturday – Like every weekend we've all the LIVE C4 races covered from a trends & stats angle.

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4)

12.45 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m CH4

11/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/13 – Priced 9/2 or shorter
10/13 – Won at Listed or better class
9/13 – Aged 5 or older
9/13– Ran at least 5 times that season
8/13 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat
8/13 – Won at least 5 times before
7/13 – Ran at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (2) last time out
6/13 – Favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Irish-trained winners
Forgotten Rules won the race 12 months ago
The average winning odds in the last 10 renewals is 13/2
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Newmarket

1.20 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13 –  Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/13 – Won over 6f before
12/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
12/13 – Won at least 3 times before
12/13 – Ran at least 4 times that season
11/13 – Won at Listed or better class previously
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/13 – Placed in the top 4 in their latest race
9/13 – Ran at Ascot previously (2 won)
9/13 – Won a Group race previously
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Ran at Haydock (4), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
Gordon Lord Byron won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

1.55 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

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7 previous runnings
7/7 – Ran 3 or more times that season
6/7 – Won over 1m4f before
6/7 – Won at Listed or better before
5/7 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
5/7 – Won at least 3 times before
5/7 – Ran within the last 9 weeks
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
4/7 – Rated 110 or higher
4/7 – Aged 3 years-old
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/7 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/7 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1
Madame Chiang won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

2.30 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Sponsored By Qipco (British Champions Mile) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Ran at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
13/13 – Ran at least 3 times that season
13/13 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
13/13 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
12/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
11/13 – Placed in the top three in their last race
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/13 – Ran at Ascot previously (4 won)
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Won at least 7 times before
6/13 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

3.05 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f CH4

13/13 – Won at least 4 times before
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
12/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
12/13 – Won between 4 and 8 times before
11/13 – Won over 1m2f before
9/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/13 – Ran 5 or more times that season
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Ran at either Longchamp (3) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/13 – Favourites unplaced
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price
3/13 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/13 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 8/1
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Newmarket

3.45 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m CH4

Just 1 previous running
Bronze Angel (Marcus Tregoning) won the race 12 months ago
Peter Chapple-Hyam is 2 from 8 with his older horses here
Saeed Bin Suroor is just 4 from 76 with his older horses here
Mick Channon is just 1 from 42 with his older horses here
Hughie Morrison is just 2 from 50 with his older horses here
David Simcock is just 2 from 53 with his older horses here

 

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