Sat TV Trends: 18th April 2015

It's Scottish Grand National day up at Ayr this Saturday, while the C4 cameras also head to Newbury for a decent flat card - As always we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY (RUK/C4)

1.45 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

12/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the market
12/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
11/12 – Won between 2-5 times previously
10/12 – First run of the season
9/12 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Raced at Newbury previously
8/12 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
7/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Drawn 6 or higher
6/12 – Won a Group race previously
5/12 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/12 – Won their last race
3/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.15 –Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

11/12 – Won over 6f or 7f previously
11/12 – First run of the season
11/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Placed in the top three in their last race
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times previously
9/12 – Drawn 5 or higher
9/12 – From the top three in the betting
8/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/12 – Won their last race
5/12 – Won over 7f previously
5/12 – Won at Listed or Group class previously
5/12 – Won at Newbury previously
3/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Trained by Mick Channon
3/12 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 6/1

2.50 – Aon Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f CH4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Won at either 6f or 7f previously
10/12 – First run of the season
10/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Won at Listed class or better previously
9/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/12 – Placed in the top two in their last race
7/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – Won over 7f previously
6/12 – Favourites
6/12 – Had won a Group race previously
5/12 – Had won a race at Newbury previously
4/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon Snr
3/12 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/12 – Irish-trained
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 11/4

3.25 –Be Wiser Insurance Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/12 – Won no more than 4 times previously
12/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Won over at least 1m previously
10/12 – Rated between 85-98
9/12 – Won between 2-4 times previously
8/12 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/12 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
7/12 – Unplaced in their last race
7/12 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/12 – Favourites unplaced
5/12 – Had raced at Newbury previously
2/12 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
1/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 13/1

 

AYR (RUK/C4)

2.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences previously
11/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 8 or younger
10/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Favourites placed
8/12 – Finished in the top 2 in their last race
7/12 – Ran within the last 2 weeks
7/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/12 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/12 – Ran at Ayr previously
4/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Favourite (1 joint)
4/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 3/1

2.35 – QTS Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m CH4

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12/12 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) previously
11/12 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/12 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/12 – Rated 137 or higher
9/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/12 – Won their last race
3/12 – Favourites (joint)
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/12 – Irish-trained
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 9/1

3.10 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m CH4

12/12 – Aged 9 or younger
11/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Won between 2-4 times (chase) previously
11/12 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
10/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/12 – Rated between 127-139
10/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
9/12 – Placed in the top four last time out
8/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/12 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
8/12 – French bred
6/12 – Raced at Ayr previously
4/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 5/1

3.45 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y CH4

11/12 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
11/12 – Aged 8 or older
11/12 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
10/12 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
10/12 – Fallen or unseated no more than once before
9/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/12 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
9/12 – Placed in the first three last time out
8/12 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
8/12 – From the first 7 in the betting market
7/12 – Won over 3m2f or further
4/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Won over 3m7f or further previously
3/12 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/12 – Raced in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/12 – Trained by Ferdy Murphy
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Parker
0/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 12 renewals is 21/1

 

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1 reply
  1. Jack says:

    I love this feature. It worked for me at Aintree, so I thought I’d give it a try on an ‘ordinary’ Saturday. So far: 2 losers, and winners at 11/4 and 12/1.

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