Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 18th Aug 2018

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday, with the competitive Great St Wilfrid Handicap and the Group Three Geoffrey Freer Stakes the main events.

 

Saturday 18th August 2018

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

 

2.45 – Randox Health (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/16 – Failed to win last time out
13/16 – Only had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
13/16 – Came from stall 10 or lower
12/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
12/16 – Winning distance ½ length or less
10/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/16 – Rated 82 to 88 inc
8/16 – Had run at the track before (4 won)
6/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Winners won by a neck
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by David Barron
2/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 5 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Denford Stud Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

14/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Finished in the first three last time out
13/16 – Had won a race before
12/16 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (5) foal
12/16 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
11/16 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Horses from stall 3 placed
9/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/16 – Won on their racecourse debut
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.25 – Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

16/16 – Had won at least twice in their career
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/16 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/16 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
12/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 3-5 years-old
11/16 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/16 – Ran at Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had already won a Group race
7/16 – Had won at Newbury before
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

3.00 – Ladies Day Handicap Cl3 7f ITV

15/16 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/16 – Had won at least twice during their career
12/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/16 – Drawn in stalls 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Squats (7/1) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

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3.35 – Ladyswood Stud Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Had won a Listed (5) or Group (8) race before
13/16 – Had won over this 7f trip before
13/16 – Officially rated 110 or more
13/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
12/16 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
8/16 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
7/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – William Hill Silver Trohpy Handicap (Consolation Race For The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes) Cl2 6f ITV

6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
6/6 – Previous winners over 6f
6/6 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
6/6 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
6/6 – Returned between 13/2 and 16/1
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 4
5/6 – Won between 3-4 times before
5/6 – Winning distance head or shorter
5/6 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/6 – Drawn in stalls 13 or higher
4/6 – Rated between 87-93
2/6 – Has won at Ripon before
0/6 – Winning favourites
Teruntum Star won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 12/1

 

3.15 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/16 – Previous winners over 6f
13/16 – Didn’t win last time out
12/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/16 – Carried 8-12 or more
10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/16 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/16  - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Ran at either Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/16 – Aged 4 years-old
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by David O’Meara
1/16 – Aged 3 years-old
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 12.5/1

 

 

 

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