Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 19th Aug 2017

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday.

 

Saturday 19th August 2017

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

 

2.10 –Randox Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

13/14 – Failed to win last time out
12/14 – Aged 5 or older
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
11/14 – Had 3 or more career wins
11/14 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
11/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
3/14 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/14 – Winning favourites
Syrian Pearl (6/1) won the race in 2016

2.45 – Randox Health (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/15 – Failed to win last time out
13/15 – Only had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Came from stall 10 or lower
11/15 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/15 – Winning distance ½ length or less
10/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
9/15 – Rated 82 to 88 inc
9/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
7/15 – Had run at the track before (4 won)
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/15 – Winners won by a neck
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by David Barron
2/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 4 runnings)
Summer Chorus (14/1) won the race in 2016

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Denford Stud Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

13/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished in the first three last time out
12/15 – Had won a race before
11/15 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (4) foal
11/15 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/15 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Horses from stall 3 placed
8/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/15 – Won on their racecourse debut
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

2.25 – Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

15/15 – Had won at least twice in their career
13/15 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Officially rated 111 or higher
11/15 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/15 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
11/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Aged 3-5 years-old
9/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
9/15 – Ran at Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Had already won a Group race
6/15 – Had won at Newbury before
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
Kings Fete (Evs) won the race in 2016

3.00 – Betfred TV Ladies Day Handicap Cl3 7f ITV

14/15 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
13/15 – Had won at least twice during their career
11/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
10/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/15 – Previous winners over 7f
9/15 – Rated between 94 and 103
7/15 – Drawn in stalls 12, 13, 14 or 15
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/15 – Had run at Newbury before
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Won by the Hills yard
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Cornwallville (10/1) won the race in 2016

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3.35 – Betfred Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Had won a Listed (5) or Group (8) race before
14/15 – Didn’t win last time out
12/15 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
12/15 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
12/15 – Had won over this 7f trip before
12/15 – Officially rated 110 or more
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/15 – Winning distance was 1 length or more
8/15 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
7/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015
Richard Pankhurst (11/1) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

3.15 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
12/15 – Didn’t win last time out
11/15 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/15 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/15  - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Ran at either Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/15 – Aged 4 years-old
4/15 – Winning favourites
1/15 – Aged 3 years-old
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL winners have returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 12/1

 

 

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